Published:
November 14, 2007
Eastern
and Central Europe offer an
attractive combination for
investors. The region is growing at
rates similar to most other emerging
markets around the world. At the
same time, due to the adoption of EU
law and fiscal discipline, these
nations offer currency and political
stability of the sort typically
found only in developed nations.
The Central Europe & Russia
Fund (NYSE: CEE) is a
closed-end fund that invests in this
region, along with Russia and
Turkey. The fund seeks to have
roughly 90% of its assets divided
equally between Central/Eastern
Europe and Russia, with the
remaining 10% invested in Turkey. As
of the end of June, the fund had 67
holdings and 98% of assets were in
common stocks.
The fund's single-largest country
bet is on Russia. Prominent Russian
natural resource firms Lukoil,
Gazprom, and Norilsk Nickel account
for around one-quarter of the fund's
total assets.
The rationale for investing in
Russia is somewhat different than
for Eastern Europe. Russia is
extraordinarily rich in natural
resources including oil, natural
gas, and metals like nickel. It's
also a key supplier of these
resources to the European market.
For example, Russian gas accounts
for more than 50% of Germany's
supply and more than 90% of supply
in Hungary. Therefore, Russia
benefits from growth across the EU
in terms of greater sales of such
vital commodities. Of course, Russia
is also a key supplier for such
commodities into the fast-growing
Asian markets.
Also, just as is the case in Eastern
Europe, economic growth in Russia
means growth in domestic
consumption. The Russian market is
becoming an increasingly important
destination for European exports.
Outside of energy and natural
resources, one of CEE's largest bets
is on financial services. Banks and
financial services firms account for
more than one-quarter of CEE's
assets. For example, in Poland the
fund has significant investments in
Banka Polska and Bank Pekao, two of
the nation's largest banks. As
economies mature and develop,
financials tend to show considerable
growth. On the commercial front,
young businesses in the emerging
markets need access to capital, and
banks offer that funding. And on the
consumer front, individuals need
access to basic savings and deposit
services for their cash.
More
importantly, mortgages were unheard
of across most of Eastern Europe a
decade ago. Nowadays, some nations
are seeing mortgage-lending growth
topping +20% annualized. That spells
sharply rising interest income for
banks.
Another big bet for CEE:
telecommunications services. The
major telecommunications firms are
among the largest publicly traded
companies in Eastern Europe. Once
monopoly providers owned by the
government, most have now been
privatized, but still maintain
overwhelming market share in their
home nations.
The region's primary telecom
providers are not only growing, but
they're growing profitably. Margins
for the best telecoms in the region
are double or more the levels of
those in developed parts of Europe.
In addition, many telecom providers
in the east are showing growth by
selling services such as high-speed
Internet to their existing
subscribers.
Finally, it's worth mentioning
Turkey. Turkey is not yet part of
the EU, though the country is in the
early stages of a bid to enter the
European Union. The nation is taking
steps to get its financial house in
order and ease fears of political
instability. Such reforms have
helped the economy considerably; the
Turkish stock market has soared
+725% over the past five years in
U.S. dollar terms.
The Central Europe & Russia Fund
is well-diversified and has
exposure to the countries and
industries that will benefit most
from growth in emerging Europe and
Russia. And the fund also has a
proven track record of success, up
more than +35% annualized over the
past five years.
Paul Tracy
Editor
StreetAuthority
Market Advisor
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