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Foreign Stocks are
Skyrocketing -- Here's How to Capture
Your Piece of the Action, and Lock in
Yields of 23.0%
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Published:
May 1, 2008
In the
16th century, European adventurers sailed across the Atlantic to
a new land, in search of better lives than they could find in
the Old Country. Their settlements grew into colonies that
eventually became the United States of America, now the world's
largest economy by far.
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For decades, American investors have had
little reason to send their assets on an overseas journey. Our own
stock market offered solid long-term returns with acceptable
volatility. By contrast, international investments tended
to fall into one of two categories: slow-growth bores (European
and, recently, Japanese stocks and bonds) or boom-and-bust roller
coasters (emerging-market stocks and bonds).
Times have changed.
Although the U.S. economy remains
the world's mightiest, the forces of globalization have helped create
attractive
investment opportunities throughout the
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World's
Largest Economies |
|
Rank |
Country |
Annual
GDP
($
in trillions) |
| 1 |
United
States |
$13.2 |
|
2 |
Japan |
$4.4 |
| 3 |
Germany |
$2.9 |
|
4 |
China |
$2.6 |
| 5 |
United
Kingdom |
$2.4 |
|
6 |
France |
$2.2 |
| 7 |
Italy |
$1.9 |
|
8 |
Canada |
$1.3 |
| 9 |
Spain |
$1.2 |
|
10 |
Brazil |
$1.1 |
|
Source: World
Bank |
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world,
including in places previously considered only by the most
adventurous financial explorers. The end of the Cold War, the
near-universal acceptance of capitalism and the ubiquity of online
and wireless communication have resulted in falling trade
barriers, rising liquidity and truly global markets.
In the 21st
century, limiting one's portfolio to U.S. stocks is akin to
keeping one's television tuned to one channel -- you'll find some
enticing offerings, but you'll miss out on so much more.
That's especially true for high-yield
investors. After all, you and I happen to live in
one of the stingiest countries in the world when it comes to
interest and dividends.
CDs pay less than 4%, before inflation. T-bills
barely pay 1%. And the average U.S. stock pays just 2.1%. (We now have the lowest-yielding stock market in the world, apart
from Japan's.)
It's a cash-flow desert here in America for anyone who needs to
bank a comfortable income off their portfolio. So if you
want to truly maximize the income-generating power of your
portfolio, then you need to invest overseas.
Foreign Markets Deliver Average Yields
of up to 8.3%
The average stock in the U.S. sports a dividend yield of just 2.1%. But in almost every other country around the
world, stocks offer significantly higher yields. This phenomenon has occurred for three main
reasons . . .
1.) Until 2003 the U.S. government
taxed dividends as ordinary income, creating an incentive for
companies to deploy excess cash in other ways. Although
qualified dividends are now taxed at a lower 15% rate, corporate America has not yet
fully adjusted its
cash-deployment strategy.
2.) Many industries in foreign
countries are dominated by state-sanctioned monopolies. These old-school companies, with strong ties to the government,
tend to be the most stable -- and some of the highest-yielding --
on the planet.
3.) The largest companies in emerging
markets need to offer higher-than-average yields to attract
foreign investors. These high
dividend payments serve to entice investors from developed countries,
including deep-pocketed institutional investors.
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Check out my chart and you'll see how
much more other
markets yield. And I'm not even including a dozen
other smaller markets that are also paying more than the
U.S.
Poland, for example, yields 3.9%. Singapore yields 4.1% .
. . Greece, 3.0% . . . Holland, 3.8% . .
. and Taiwan, 3.8%. And remember, those are just
the averages -- many individual stocks in these foreign
markets are now dishing out yields of 10%, 15% . . .
even 20% or more.
So if you want to capture some of the
highest yields on the market, and profit from
today's fastest-growing economies, then you need to be looking overseas.
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Stronger Growth Outside the U.S.
The
U.S. economy has continued to slow in 2008, and all signs point to a
possible recession in the coming months. In fact, we
might already be in the midst of one.
Between the mortgage mess and the credit crisis . . .
record oil prices and nagging inflation . . . the budget
deficit and the trade gap . . . it all adds up to a pretty
strong headwind for U.S. investors. Fed Chairman Bernanke
has said so himself.
As the world's largest economy, it is
virtually impossible for the U.S. to deliver the robust growth
rates that it has posted in decades past. This could lead to
continued losses for U.S. stocks (or sluggish, below-average
returns, at best).
Fortunately,
many other countries around the world are at far earlier stages on
the economic development path and should deliver much higher growth
rates than the U.S. for years to come. As you can see
from my chart, the U.S. economy simply
can't match the growth that's taking place in foreign markets.
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This year may mark a "perfect storm" of negativity
for the U.S. economy. But as you can see, much of the
rest of the world is expected to enjoy strong economic
growth. Yes, other countries are also affected by the
negative trends that are hurting the U.S. -- but foreign
economies are still expanding at much faster rates.
This is remarkable because the U.S. is by far the world's
largest economy. It has long been understood that our own
levels of economic activity drive supply-and-demand calculations around the world. But the link between America's economic strength
and that of the rest of the world has weakened.
It used to be said that when |
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America sneezes, the world catches a cold. Now, it's
more like a sniffle.
The reason is globalization and the wealth-spreading effects that
flow from it. Consumers, producers, exporters and financiers who
once depended on the U.S. now can turn elsewhere.
The global economy used to resemble a bicycle wheel with the U.S.
in the middle, the fixed spokes radiating out representing our
purchases and sales with all the other players. In the 21st
century, it makes more sense to imagine an intricate spider's web;
the U.S. remains central, but globalization allows strong but
flexible strands to be woven constantly, in all directions.
What does this mean for investors? Simply
that diversifying overseas is more important than in the past. When the U.S.
slows, money will flow into international markets offering greater
returns.
And there's another reason to invest
overseas. The world is witnessing something unprecedented --
a
sustained economic boom among so-called emerging markets. Again, globalization is driving this phenomenon. And because this
trend is likely to last for many years, it represents a
terrific investment opportunity.
China and India, the two largest
countries by population, have been growing at double-digit annual
rates for most of this century. Eager to catch up to the world's
economic superpowers, both countries are investing tens of
billions of dollars in infrastructure projects -- roads and
bridges, power plants and water systems, wireless and Internet
networks, even factories and cities.
Similar trends are in place
in Brazil, Russia and many other countries, such as South Korea. These nations should continue to deliver exceptional growth as
their economies catch up to the developed levels enjoyed by the U.S., Western Europe and
Japan.
Foreign Markets Deliver Gains of up to +180%
Strong economic growth leads to sharply-rising equity
prices. So it's not surprising that foreign stock markets
are delivering tremendous returns.
While the S&P 500 had a lackluster 2007, rising just +3.5%,
just look at the returns posted by other stock markets around the
world . . .
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2007
World Stock Market Returns
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China:
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+180% |
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Ukraine:
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+135% |
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Slovenia:
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+97% |
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Nigeria:
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+87% |
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Pakistan:
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+86% |
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Croatia:
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+81% |
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Brazil:
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+72% |
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Mauritius:
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+70% |
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India:
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+65% |
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| |
Source:
Bloomberg
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U.S. stocks have never moved like this. Never. The
highest one-year gain the S&P 500 ever reported was +45% --
and that was a lifetime ago . . . in 1954. In 2007, the S&P 500 didn't even crack the top 50, coming in
76th out of the world's 90 major stock-market indexes.
A Perfect Situation for Income Investors
Thanks to their combination of strong yields and enormous capital gains,
foreign markets are the
single greatest place for American investors to look for
dependable high-income plays today. In fact, research
shows that 91% of the world's highest-yielding stocks are now
located overseas (see
details here).
That's why I decided to team up with StreetAuthority, LLC -- one
of the nation's leading publishers of unbiased, independent market
research -- to launch my new premium newsletter . . .
High-Yield
International. It's the only newsletter of its
kind devoted exclusively to finding high-yielding securities in
today's best-performing foreign markets.
In recent issues, I've profiled some of the most attractive
dividend payers on the planet, including a rock-solid Australian
utility with a 20.8% yield, an international shipping company
paying 14.5%, an emerging Europe fund with a 21.6% yield, and a diversified
real estate fund with dividends of 23.0%, among many others.
If you'd like to learn the names of these companies -- plus
receive a steady stream of foreign stocks, funds and other
investing ideas with abnormally high dividend yields each and
every month -- then I'd like to extend you a personal invitation
to try my premium international investing newsletter . . . High-Yield
International.
Visit
this link to learn more.

Nick Lanyi
Editor
High-Yield International
About High-Yield International
High-Yield International is
a monthly investment newsletter focused on bringing subscribers the
highest-yield securities in the world. By focusing solely on those securities
trading outside of the United States, this newsletter offers a host of relatively
unknown investment options that you probably won't find coverage of anywhere
else.
Many of these securities provide investors with annual dividend yields of 10%,
15%, even 20% or more, while also outperforming the major U.S. averages.
About Nick Lanyi
Nick Lanyi has spent
17 years researching and analyzing money-making opportunities for three of the
most widely read investment advisory services in history. At Louis Rukeyser's
Wall Street, Nick spent the better part of a decade as Rukeyser's trusted
lieutenant, covering the entire investment waterfront. Earlier, Nick refined his
touch at Fidelity Insight, a leading mutual-fund newsletter, and
wrote for the venerable general-interest financial newsletter, Personal
Finance.
Nick has been quoted in the Wall Street Journal, Boston Globe,
Chicago Tribune, Bloomberg and Forbes.com. He has also appeared on CNN/fn
and CNBC.
To learn more about Nick Lanyi's premium investing newsletter --
High-Yield International -- please
visit
this link.
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