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Published: April 1, 2009
In one scene of the
1987 Oliver Stone classic film Wall Street, corporate raider
Gordon Gekko called his broker on a cell phone from a beach in
the Hamptons.
The phone was roughly the size of a brick, and likely just as
heavy, but the scene was meant to convey Gekko's wealth and
power. Only the richest Americans could afford a cell phone in
1987, particularly one small enough to carry in one hand. In
fact, only about 0.5% of the U.S. population owned a mobile or
carphone by the end of 1987.
Times have changed. Nowadays, most Americans see a mobile phone
as an essential service, not a luxury. In fact, mobile phone
penetration currently stands at more than +83%, more than double
what it was at the beginning of the decade.
But, believe it or not, the U.S. is relatively backward when it
comes to mobile phones compared to other developed countries.
The United Kingdom, like most EU countries, actually sports a
cellular phone penetration over 100%. That means that your
average consumer owns more than one mobile phone or buys a new
phone more than once every 12 months. And if you think that's
scary, consider this fact -- the average Briton gets their first
mobile phone at the tender age of eight.
And don't assume that the developing world is immune to the
global mobile phone craze. While the idea of a rural farmer in
China holding a cell phone might seem ridiculous, it isn't. Many
developing countries never built the miles of underground and
street side copper wire telecommunications networks that exist
in the U.S. Compared to laying all that cable, installing a
handful of towers is an easy and inexpensive task.
Countries like China and India largely skipped the landline
phase entirely -- many consumers switched from no phone at all
to owning their first mobile. Current cell phone penetration in
China and India stands at 41% and 20% respectively, less than
half the average rates seen in the EU and across North America.
Nonetheless, these markets are growing far more rapidly. At the
end of 2000, China's cell phone penetration was less than 7% of
the population and India's was less than 0.5%. When you consider
that both countries boast more than one billion inhabitants,
that's an impressive growth rate.
And while developed markets like the U.S. and UK are approaching
saturation, China and India still have plenty of room to grow
before cell phone penetration reaches developed world levels.
And there's more to the telecommunications industry than
wireless telephone calls. In the U.S. and developed parts of
Europe phones such as the BlackBerry and iPhone have become
ubiquitous; mobile phone users increasingly want their email and
Internet services delivered to their phones. And, the new trend
is so-called third-generation (3G) mobile services -- users not
only want the Internet but they want it at the same speed at
they're able to get on their home PCs.
In the U.S., around 15 to 20% of all phones sold are so-called
smartphones, devices capable of accessing email and the
Internet. Globally, that number is closer to 12%.
But demand for these services is growing rapidly and
telecommunications providers can drastically increase their
revenues by increasing the number of subscribers signed up to
their smartphone services. Globally, smartphone sales are
growing at roughly three times the pace of mobile phone sales as
a whole and telecom providers earn far more revenue from such
customers compared to those buying simple telephone services.
As a result of all
this demand, the world's telecommunications firms are remarkably
resistant to the global economic recession. Even as consumers
cut back on discretionary spending, they're continuing to pay
for wireless telecommunications and data services -- these are
true essential services much like electricity or water.
Even better, telecommunications companies typically have strong
and stable cash flows. That's because once these companies build
out their networks and basic infrastructure, there's little
additional cost associated with adding new subscribers. Strong
cash flow generation allows many of the largest telecom firms to
pay out significant dividends to shareholders.
Even better for U.S. investors, in most developing countries
there are no more than one or two major telecommunications
companies. And given the size and market power of these firms,
they're typically among the first to attempt to list on the U.S.
exchanges -- these companies often trade as American Depository
Receipts (ADRs), making them easy for U.S.-based investors to
buy.
With these points in mind, the table below offers a list of some
of the largest and best-positioned telecommunications firms
located outside the U.S. and other developed countries.
|
Security
(Symbol) |
Country |
Recent Price |
Dividend
Yield |
Forward P/E |
| Chunghwa
Telecom (NYSE: CHT-W) |
Taiwan |
$18.23 |
7.0% |
13.3 |
|
Mobile TeleSystems (NYSE:
MBT) |
Russia |
$29.92 |
8.8% |
6.5 |
| Philippine
Long Distance (NYSE: PHI) |
Philippines |
$44.13 |
6.5% |
9.0 |
|
PT Telekomunik Indonesia
(NYSE: TLK) |
Indonesia |
$25.70 |
10.6% |
12.0 |
| China Mobile
(NYSE: CHL) |
China |
$43.52 |
3.9% |
10.6 |
|
China Unicom (NYSE: CHU) |
Hong
Kong |
$10.41 |
2.7% |
11.3 |
| Vimpelcom
(NYSE: VIP) |
Russia |
$6.54 |
8.8% |
6.7 |
Good Investing!


Paul Tracy
Editor
StreetAuthority Market Advisor |