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-- By
Nathan Slaughter
We appear to be in what's called a "range-bound" market.
It's the volatile sideways
action that follows a major bull market and can last 10 to 15 years. During
such periods the market goes up, it goes down, it bounces around, but the
end result after many years is a zero gain or even a loss.
You see, from 1982 to 2000 we had a major bull market.
It was easy to make money during that time because almost everything went
up.
But since 2000, we've been in a range-bound market with
bull and bear segments and lots of volatility. The result after 9 years is
the market is lower, and most investors have zero gains or even
losses.
You can see this plainly in
this DJIA chart...
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*Note: This is what the market is
likely to look like in 2015 at the end of a 15-year range-bound market
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Note that in April of 2000 the DOW was over 11,500. But
by March of 2003 it was down to 7,500. Then it climbed to 14,000 by November
of 2007. Only to plunge to 6500 by March of 2009. And then rally back to
9,300 by mid-August.
The DOW was all over the place, but after 9 years
through August 15th, the end result was a -20% loss. That's a range-bound
market.
How much longer will this volatile sideways market
last? We can get a good idea from the current economic picture...
Home values are still down. Banks are not lending like
they used to. Companies are still shedding jobs. And consumer confidence is
fragile...
The fact is 70% of our economy is consumer spending
but consumers aren't spending as much these days. Instead, they're paying
down debt, saving more, and trying to rebuild what they've lost.
The problem is without robust consumer spending,
there's no way to get a strong economic recovery. And that means this
volatile range-bound market is likely to persist for at least a few more
years.
The worst things you can do in a range-bound market
are...
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Buy the market |
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Be a buy-and-hold investor |
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Own average stocks, ETFs, or mutual funds.
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Fortunately, there's a way to profit in a range-bound
market. In fact, there's five.
I'll
show you how.
-- Nathan Slaughter
Editor
StreetAuthority's
Half-Priced Stocks
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