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Published: September 3, 2009
When Enron's accounting fraud came to light and
the company went bankrupt, Enron employees not only lost their
jobs -- they lost an estimated $850 million on the Enron stock
held in their retirement accounts. Bear Sterns and Lehman
Brothers encouraged their employees to hold stock in their
companies. That turned out to be patently bad advice -- and not
just because the companies crumbled during the credit crisis.
It's also bad diversification advice.
All Your Eggs in the Company Basket
Fidelity Investment maven Peter Lynch coined the adage, "Invest
in what you know." Although people know and understand the
companies they work for, they need to draw the line when it
comes to investing where they work. After all, they already have
a significant investment in the company.
When you look at your portfolio, you need to look at all your
assets, not just the stocks and bonds in your brokerage account.
You are an asset. In economic parlance, you are human capital.
When you work for a company, you are, in effect, investing your
capital with them. Once you count your salary and benefits in
your portfolio holdings, you'll likely discover you are already
"overweight" in your company.
Don't You Already Own Real Estate?
There are a number of studies that illustrate the diversifying
powers of real estate. Ibbotson Associates has shown that when
Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) were added to a portfolio
of stocks, bonds and Treasury bills, overall portfolio returns
increased while risk decreased.
But if you are one of the 67.4% of Americans who own a home, you
already have a boatload of exposure to the real estate market.
Your home represents about a third of your net worth on average.
What's more, about two-thirds of homeowners have a mortgage,
which means the investment in their home, and therefore real
estate, is leveraged.
Residential real estate doesn't correlate one-for-one with
commercial real estate, but it would be hard to build a case for
homeowners adding exposure to the sector.
Rebalance When it Counts
By design, a well-diversified
portfolio doesn't stay that way.
Some assets will outperform and do
your portfolio's heavy lifting while
others rest. In time, you'll be
overweight in the assets that had a
nice run. Unfortunately when it's
their turn to rest, these positions
will create a big drag on your
results.
Rebalancing a portfolio isn't as
exciting as researching a new
opportunity. Most investors treat
rebalancing like a painful chore,
relegated to a New Year's resolution
list.
An annual rebalancing is good, but
rebalancing after a rally or a
correction is far better. These are
precisely the times when your
imbalances are the most pronounced
and pose the most risk. But the
added advantage of rebalancing
during peaks and troughs is that it
will force you to "buy low and sell
high" -- which is just what we
investors aim to do.
Since March, the S&P 500 Index has
had a nice rally -- up over +40%.
There have been some noteworthy
outperformers and surprising
underperformers in that time.
Commodities have a well-deserved
place in a diversified portfolio.
But if you were invested in, say,
copper, commodities may now be
taking up more space in your
portfolio than you realize. Southern
Copper (NYSE: PCU), for instance, is
up about +120% since March.
Some investments "rested" during
this recent rally, mostly
representing some
recession-resistant sectors like
grocery stores, utilities and
telecoms. Many telecom companies,
especially wireless providers, have
been adding subscribers and
maintaining a steady stream of
revenues and cash flow throughout
the recession. That's a sector I
believe is poised to do some heavy
lifting in the next market cycle.
The Time is Now
This year, do yourself a favor.
Don't wait until January 1st to
think about rebalancing your
portfolio. Get rid of your company
stock, look at your real estate
positions with a critical eye, and
scale back your overweight positions
with an nose for the next market
cycle.
Always Searching for the Next Great
Idea...
- Amy Calistri
Chief Investment Strategist
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