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Published: September 18, 2009
I'm pretty sure I've discovered the next winning
"green" tech company.
Not only does it have serious technology to bring to the table,
it has the most powerful financial force on the planet backing
it up. This company, which is developing the batteries that will
be used in the next-generation of electric cars, has the support
of the most important investor in the world.
It ain't Warren whats-his-name from Omaha.
It's Uncle Sam.
The U.S. government has awarded $2.4 billion to battery makers,
$249 million of which went to this company, called A123, in its
bid to produce better and better automotive batteries.
(The
last time I recommended a government-driven IPO, the shares
inked a quick +20% gain in just a few months. I still hold the
shares in my Government-Driven Investing Portfolio, where they
can continue to build on their robust gains as policymakers
order more and more of the company's services.)
Now, when I talk about car batteries, I'm not talking about your
father's trusty Die Hard. The latest batteries aren't something
you can go pick up at Sears and drop into your LTD with a
crescent wrench and a little elbow grease. They don't just help
start the car, they power an electric drivetrain. These advanced
batteries are larger, more powerful and use advanced lithium-ion
technology to supply enough juice to push a car through traffic
for 40 miles without recharging, which is more than enough to
get most motorists through the day.
These vehicles are The Next Big Thing. They're already in
production in China, and the world's major automakers are
readying the electric models for the U.S. market.
The anticipation for these cars is building, and the demand is
expected to be brisk. The President of the United States can't
stop talking about the upcoming release of the
230-mile-per-gallon Chevy Volt. The Nissan Leaf has caused a
stir with its even higher claim of 367 miles to the gallon. And
these new cars are hitting a market where far more vehicles are
expected to be sold, particularly in fledgling markets like
India and China.
Fact: The global automotive fleet is expected to quadruple, to
three billion vehicles, during the next 40 years. A good number
of those cars, if not a majority, will be built around high-tech
batteries made by companies like A123 instead of around
capacious gasoline tanks. And if you don't like the idea of
investing for the next 40 years, then give the next three years
a try. A study released earlier this summer says the worldwide
demand for lithium-ion materials will add up to $22.8 billion by
2012.
But this story gets better still.
Not only does this
government-supported company own the
hot technology in a hot sector, but
it's also bringing its shares to
market at the high point for the
year. The Dow is at its high for
2009. The S&P hasn't seen its
current level of valuation for
several years. A123 has perfectly
timed its initial public offering,
which it first filed paperwork on
more than a year ago, to launch as
investors are feeling more
optimistic than they have in an
ages.
And you don't have much time to get
ready.
This IPO is scheduled to hit the
Street in four business days, on
September 24th.
You don't want to miss out on the
gains that this offering is poised
to generate.
A123 was founded in a lab at MIT in
2001. Its current investors include
venture capitalists and investment
houses as well as corporate titans
like GE, Motorola, Procter and
Gamble and Qualcomm. And while A123
didn't get the contract to supply
the ballyhooed Volt, the government
did give the company a huge vote of
confidence in the form of the
massive quarter-billion-dollar
contract to build a large-scale
battery plant.
This is not my first foray into the
battery business.
In fact, earlier this month, I
recommended a Chinese battery maker
to the readers of my
Government-Driven Investing
newsletter that has since returned
+40%. The company I recommended is
poised to supply Asia. A123, for its
part, with the support of Uncle Sam,
is likely to be a leading supplier
to the U.S. automotive market, which
is currently the largest in the
world.
IPOs generally involve a lot of
hype, and the market sometimes gets
ahead of itself with exuberance. In
practice, this often works out as a
quick pop on the first day of
trading followed by a substantial
drop and then a steady rise.
The company plans to sell 25.7
million shares under the ticker "AONE"
at a range of $8 to $9.50 each.
Savvy investors should decide on a
price and keep some powder dry to
jump on the stock when it reaches
their target, with the intent of
holding the shares for the
long-term. Holding battery makers
has been a good move this year. The
battery maker I recommended this
month is up +415% for the year.
-- Andy
Obermueller
Chief Investment Analyst
Government-Driven Investing |