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Published: November 16, 2009
Hewlett-Packard Co.’s (NYSE: HPQ)
pending buyout of 3Com Corp. (Nasdaq: COMS) highlights an
accelerating race in the tech sector to grow businesses in an
industry where development from within simply is not enough.
HP will pay $2.7 billion in cash for 3Com, which is second to
Cisco Systems Inc. (Nasdaq: CSCO) in business networking.
Cisco and HP have steadily been encroaching on each other’s
businesses: Earlier this year, Cisco started making servers
while HP last year began to renew investment in its ProCurve
networking business.
Deals like the one between HP and 3Com are “part of a broader
theme where there’s a lot of talk of convergence in the data
center,” said Jayson Noland, an analyst at Robert W. Baird & Co.
Inc. “Cisco and HP are going to compete more and more.”
PC market leaders like HP and Dell Inc. (Nasdaq: DELL)
diversified away from their core business of desktop and laptop
computers as the recession clamped down on consumer spending.
Instead, they chose to focus more on enterprise servers,
software and services.
Dell acquired Perot Systems Corp. (NYSE: PER) in a bid to
capture more of the lucrative services sector and to take share
away from HP, which last year paid $13.9 billion for Electronic
Data Systems LLC. Services now make up almost 31% of HP’s sales,
compared to Dell’s pre-Perot 10%.
“This was a move designed to try and catch up with its
competitors,” Kaufman Brothers LP analyst Shaw Wu told
Bloomberg News. “[Dell was] behind in services and being
vertically integrated. That’s the model that worked -- providing
the hardware, software and services.”
In the case of the HP’s acquisition of 3Com, the convergence
lies in data centers, huge warehouses filled with servers that
operate everything from Web sites to corporate networks. The
data center market is fast becoming flooded with dollars, and by
the time this year has ended, businesses will have spent $100
billion on data center software and hardware, market research
firm Interactive Data Corp. forecasts.
The drive by tech companies to make their companies more
businesses-friendly could spur more mergers and acquisitions.
A Competitive Advantage Through Consolidation
There’s plenty of growth to be had for even the largest tech
companies, and it’s not just in enterprise. Online advertising
giant Google Inc. (Nasdaq: GOOG), bought mobile application
advertiser AdMob Inc. for $750 million just days after a Money
Morning analysis on Google’s push to monetize the budding
smartphone market.
“AdMob is clearly the best of its ilk for applications
monetization,” Google Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Eric
Schmidt told Bloomberg in an interview last week. “We think
that’s as strategic as search monetization, which, of course,
we’re very good at.”
Many popular mobile apps are free, particularly news and social
media apps, which makes them a prime space for ads.
“The free apps have to be paid for somehow, and the model we’ve
become very comfortable with is using advertising,” Carl Howe,
an analyst with Yankee Group Research Inc. told Bloomberg. “I
think it could be, actually, a big business.”
Even though Google would likely be successful by bringing its
AdSense program to mobile phones, it chose to buy the
established AdMob, which was founded in 2006. AdMob specializes
in image-based mobile display ads within apps, giving Google --
which only had text-based ads being shown in apps -- a head
start on competitors like Yahoo Inc. (Nasdaq: YHOO) and
Microsoft Corp. (Nasdaq: MSFT).
Microsoft has a clear opportunity for in-app advertising. Its
counter to Apple’s App Store and Google’s Android Market,
Windows Marketplace for Mobile, just launched last month.
Like it did with traditional Web search, the Redmond, Wash.
software giant once again finds itself looking up at Google.
That’s not to say it isn’t trying: Earlier this year it formed a
partnership with Quattro Wireless.
In this fast-paced game of staking a market share claim, Quattro
could find itself the target of an acquisition by either
Microsoft or Yahoo.
Google’s buy of AdMob “is a catalyst event, so [it will] likely
will make other players take a look at what they need to do to
take advantage of the growth in consumer, advertiser and
publisher interest in mobile to impact their own growth,”
Quattro said.
Quattro has seen its ad impressions go from 150 million a year
ago to 5.5 billion per month this year, Bob Davis, of Quattro
investor Highland Capital Partners LLC told Fortune
magazine.
Then there’s smart phones themselves, which are steadily growing
into handheld computers.
Microsoft and Google already make operating systems for
handsets, while Dell will debut its first smartphone in China
later this month. And of course, there’s Apple Inc.’s (Nasdaq:
AAPL) iPhone rounding out the list of computer-related companies
with its hands in mobile. HP, the world’s largest PC maker,
clearly has an opportunity with smart phones: It has one
currently on the market and another due for release later this
month.
With a war chest of more than $13 billion, HP could go shopping
for a faster start in an already crowded race. One company that
would stand out is HP’s old PDA nemesis, Palm Inc. (Nasdaq:
PALM).
Palm’s flagship Pre smart phone has sold just 205,000 units
since its summer launch, compared to 146,000 iPhones sold on its
first day on the market in 2007, according to Ars Technica. With
a market cap of about $1.6 billion, Palm is affordable for HP
and would benefit from HP’s vast resources. HP would get an
established name and well-reviewed mobile operating system in
Palm’s WebOS.
Whether these scenarios play out or not, the one certainty is
recent pickup in the tech industry’s consolidation won’t be
ending anytime soon.
-- Bob Blandeburgo
Associate Editor
Money
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