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Published: December 1, 2009
It's the sixth such tome from Mary Buffett,
who was, a long time ago, married to Warren's son Peter, a
musician. The new book will examine Buffett's management
secrets.
This is silly.
Buffett is a renowned investor -- and for good reason -- but
certainly he's no great manager. "We delegate to the point of
abdication," he says in Berkshire Hathaway's (NYSE: BRK-B)
owners' manual. In fact, Buffett only takes over or buys shares
in companies with exceptional leaders already in place.
Management, Buffett says, is the one thing that Berkshire can't
provide. The closest thing to a "Buffett management strategy" is
that he relies only on people he trusts. He has proven to be a
good judge of both character and talent.
If you want to learn how to lead a company, read Peter Drucker.
If you want to learn about Buffett, pick up Alice Schroeder's
2008 "Snowball," his authorized biography. But if you want your
portfolio to emulate that of the world's most successful
investor, you don't really need to buy a book. Just follow the
Oracle's advice, which he has freely dispensed --
I've been studying Buffett since eighth grade.
Here's what I've learned:
1. Don't invest in anything you don't understand.
A business model -- how the company makes money -- should be
exceedingly simple. While the most obvious example of Buffett's
adherence to this tenet is his famous refusal to participate in
the tech bubble, he has always looked to venerable companies
that make money the old-fashioned way: A bank lends money. A
candy company sells chocolates. Insurers write policies. Those
are three examples that Buffett understands and are companies
that he owns. But other, more complex "New Economy" companies --
even good ones like Yahoo (Nasdaq: YHOO) or Microsoft
(Nasdaq: MSFT) -- Buffett just doesn't get. They're not
within his circle of competence, notwithstanding the fact that
the Yahoo CEO and Microsoft founder sit on Berkshire's board.
Buffett's lesson: If you can't figure out how a company makes
money and explain it in two sentences to an eight-grader, don't
buy the business.
2. The best companies generate lots of cash with very little
additional investment.
Buffett's ideal business model is a toll bridge: You buy the
thing and it generates tolls for decades. Maybe it requires a
little additional maintenance every so often, but it mostly just
pays a slow, steady, dependable return.
Buffett has occasionally violated this rule. FlightSafety, for
example, is a Berkshire company that offers training to pilots.
It requires scores of millions of dollars a year to keep up with
expensive and ever-changing aviation technology. Now, the
company is profitable and Buffett isn't going to sell it, but
he'd much rather have the predictable stodgy returns of a
company like See's Candies, which participates in a no-growth
market but requires no additional capital. See's has generated
far more cash than Buffett paid for it in the early 1970s. Given
the choice between 10 FlightSafetys and ten See's Candies,
Buffett would take the candy stores every time.
Buffett's lesson: It takes money to make money, sure, but they
money you're forced to put into the business -- to "reinvest"
comes right off the bottom line. Don't buy those companies.
3. Seek industry leaders with sustainable competitive
advantages.
If you build a castle, someone without a castle will try to take
it. So when you build it, make sure that it has a wide and deep
moat that no rival can cross. The result is your castle will
always be protected. The castle, of course, is a business. And
the moat represents its sustainable competitive advantage.
Buffett seeks companies that have a dominant and inviolate
market positions. No one can touch the awesome power of the
Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO) or American Express (NYSE: AXP)
brands, for example. If you're going to own a retailer, buy one
that no one can compete with. (Buffett recently upped his stake
in Walmart (NYSE: WMT).)
Buffett's lesson: A sustainable competitive advantage means
secure revenues and earnings and, thus, the investment carries
less risk than its competitors.
4. The tortoise wins.
Buffett thinks short-term gains are a sucker's bargain. He
always invests for the long term. The best length of time to
hold a stock, Buffett says, is forever. That doesn’t mean one
shouldn't take gains -- Buffett has certainly done that -- but
the rule should be long-term growth of invested capital. Buffett
has said he invests under the premise that the stock market
could close tomorrow for five years and he'd be just fine when
it reopened.
That's a good policy.
It also, if applied properly, changes an investor's perspective.
Buffett never looks at himself as an investor, he looks at
himself as an owner of the business. He looks beyond the current
value of the business but its future earnings potential during
the years and decades to come. Buffett refers to this as a
company's intrinsic value. An investor sees a company's earnings
as a dividend check; Buffett sees them as lowering his cost
basis on an investment and, eventually, paying for it.
Buffett's lesson: A dependable, modest return with no losses
over the long term will beat the market average and the
competition nine times out of ten. Go for slow and steady.
5. The best money is free money.
To understand Warren Buffett an investor must understand the
business of insurance. Buffett's affinity for insurance is based
on one thing: He loves free money.
An insurance company expects to pay out more in claims than it
takes in as premiums. That's what's known as an "underwriting
loss." The way most insurance companies actually make a profit
is by investing policyholders' premiums until claims are
presented that are deemed valid and due. If those investments
generate enough return to cover underwriting losses and expenses
-- plus a reasonable return on the company's own capital -- then
the insurer is worthwhile as a going concern.
Here's the kicker: Some of Buffett's insurance operations
actually generate an operating profit. His underwriters are
experts at charging customers the appropriate amount to protect
them from financial loss. There's no such thing as a bad risk,
Buffett says, only a bad price. An underwriting profit means its
customers are paying the insurance company to use policyholder
money to make a profit the insurance company gets to keep.
That's a business model that makes Warren Buffett very happy and
has made him very, very wealthy. The best way to make a profit
is with someone else's money, and Buffett has made billions of
dollars using the float from his insurance companies.
Buffet's Lesson: It's not enough to understand the business. An
investor must also understand the cost of capital. (And if
someone will pay you to make money, always take them up on it.)
6. Patience is paramount.
Buffett is almost Zen-like in his patience. If he can't find a
business at a reasonable price, then he waits. As he waits, he
builds a cash hoard so he has money when everyone else doesn't.
At no point was this more vividly illustrated than in the
financial crunch, when Buffett was the only major player who had
cash and was willing to lend it. Oh, and whom did he lend it to?
Industry leaders like Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS). Companies
with a sustainable competitive advantage like Harley-Davidson
(NYSE: HOG). And each of those deals compensated him for his
patience and his risk as he priced long-term deals that would
more than cover his cost of capital. He followed all his rules,
and he'll reap hundreds of millions for years to come.
Buffett's lesson: Building wealth is a marathon, not a sprint.
Be patient, be careful and keep plenty of cash on hand so you
can buy when everyone wants to sell.
Andy Obermueller
Chief Investment Strategist
Government-Driven Investing
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