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Published: December 14, 2009
Fossil fuels are out, alternative energy is
in and dozens of companies are likely to benefit from the
transition.
Investors can use one security to capture these imminent gains.
Leaders of 192 countries are meeting at the U.N. Climate Change
Conference in Copenhagen to iron out accords that will likely
result in huge gains for a number of alternative-energy
companies. One exchange-traded fund is poised to benefit from a
surge in new business for them.
Most electricity is generated by burning coal or natural gas,
though many governments are moving to embrace "cleaner"
technologies that emit less carbon-dioxide, a compound thought
to trap heat in earth's atmosphere and contribute to a
phenomenon known as global warming.
Hundreds of billions of dollars worth of existing fossil-fuel
fired power plants notwithstanding, governments are increasingly
more interested in promoting "renewable" energy sources like
wind and solar power. These technologies not only reduce
emissions, they also start to wean the world from scarce
fossil-fuel-based sources.
The two-week environmental confab in Copenhagen kicked off on
Monday as presidents, premiers and prime ministers, along with
thousands of other delegates, renewed efforts to come to an
agreement on how to cut greenhouse gases. While the conference
underscores alternative energy's bright future, the most
tangible proof is a spate of legislation in several countries to
cut carbon emissions by using more alternative forms of energy.
China, for example, has mandated that 15% of its energy come
from renewable sources by 2020. Solar and wind energy companies
should see a huge boost from this mandate. China plans to
increase wind energy by +720% from 12.2 gigawatts to 100
gigawatts by 2010. (A megawatt, or one million watts, is enough
power for 1,000 homes. A gigawatt is 1,000 times that, or enough
power for a million homes. One hundred gigawatts is about 10% of
U.S. energy consumption.) China also has mandated more solar
energy use, from 100 megawatts today to 20 gigawatts by 2020 --
a +19,900% increase.
The majority of China's 800 gigawatt electricity consumption is
generated by coal (70%), followed by oil (20%) and hydroelectric
(6%). China's energy demand is rapidly growing, the head of
China's electric network said they plan to almost double
electricity capacity by 2020. China needs to add another 700
gigawatts of electricity capacity to meet new demand and only
120 gigawatts is slated to be generated from solar and wind
power, meaning there is still room for other alternative energy
projects to be added between now and 2020. This is especially
true if they plan to meet their 15% alternative energy target by
2020.
Many other countries have embarked on similar initiatives. In
India, wind power is expected to add 10 gigawatts of
power-generation capacity by 2012. Japan's government provided
$11 billion in its stimulus package to development cleaner power
technology. The United States and the European Union are working
on legislation aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions well
below current levels.
Market Vectors Global Alternative Energy (NYSE: GEX)
gives investors access to the world's largest alternative-energy
companies. This ETF isn't laden with hundred of unprofitable
startups but with 31 large, dynamic alternative-energy
companies. GEX's top ten holdings make up 53% of its assets.
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The largest portfolio holding is Vestas Wind Systems (OTC:
VWDRY). The company is an industry leader in wind system
solutions, commanding about 19% of global demand for wind
turbines. The Denmark-based company has installed more than
35,500 wind turbines in 63 countries.
The company shipped 979 turbines in the third-quarter ended
October 27, 2009, a +17% increase from the previous year. Even
better, the company earned $244 million in the third quarter, a
+70% increase year-over-year.
The second largest holding in GEX is First Solar (Nasdaq:
FSLR), one of the largest solar panel manufactures in the
world. The company is also one of the lowest cost producers in
the industry. It's no wonder why China gave First Solar a
contract to build the largest solar farm ever. The two-gigawatt
solar farm will be 25 times larger than any in the United
States. First Solar earnings were $153 million in the third
quarter ended September 26, 2009, a +54% year-over-year.
Government-Driven Investing
editor Andy Obermueller recently
identified Itron
(Nasdaq: ITRI) as a leader in advanced electrical meters.
The company's "smart" meters are an important step in upgrading
the antiquated U.S. power grid -- a key Obama priority -- to
improve its efficiency. The Department of Energy recently made
$3.4 billion in grants to utilities to buy smart meters. Itron
is a key GEX holding.
GEX is an easy and cost-efficient way for investors to capture
profits from the green movement and gain international exposure.
The ETF has an expense ratio of 0.65% and is 58% invested in
international companies. Only alternative energy companies with
market caps greater than $100 million are considered for this
fund.
That does not mean that there isn't risk involved. Some forms of
alternative energy are still in their infancy and may prove to
not be economically viable. However, GEX's concentration in
larger, more established companies helps mitigate some of that
risk.
GEX has lagged the overall market lately for a few reasons. For
one, alternative energy projects became less attractive when
oil, natural gas and coal prices plummeted from their peaks in
2008. When demand for electricity fell with the recession,
building new power plants became less urgent. Even if a company
had wanted to embark on a significant alternative-energy
project, such endeavors cost billions of dollars, lending was
tight during the financial crisis. The few companies that had
cash were trying to figure out how to conserve it, not spend it.
Energy demand is already on the rise, and reducing carbon
emissions is a goal for most countries -- just ask the thousands
at the Copenhagen conference. While the news surrounding the
conference may give shares of alternative energy companies a pop
in the short-term, it's the long-term green legislations around
the globe that will fuel these companies in the long-term,
regardless of fossil fuel prices.
-- Francisco E. Bermea
Staff Writer
StreetAuthority
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