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Published: January 10, 2010
The S&P 500 lost ground during the past
decade, but this drug maker's shares returned a gravity-defying
+1,179%.
That's the good news. The better news is that the company looks
like it's setting itself up for a repeat performance.
One reason that its future looks so bright is that its main
money-maker is protected by patents that give it exclusive
rights that won't expire for a decade. What's more, a string of
savvy acquisitions have added other promising drugs to its
research and development pipeline, treatments that, if approved,
could generate even more profits.
The company is Gilead Sciences (Nasdaq: GILD), a market
leader in HIV treatment and other infectious diseases. Gilead's
share of this market is nothing short of astonishing: 71% of
U.S. patients with HIV use one of Gilead's drugs, Atripla,
Truvada or Viread, to treat it. Their market-leadership is unlikely to face a challenge any
time soon.
The portfolio managers at the StreetAuthority
Market Advisor newsletter actually recommended this
stock back in 2001. Their readers have since picked up +521%
returns -- and like I said, the company's epic stock gains could
be in for a repeat performance.
The company recently said its "all-in-one" HIV treatment,
"Quad," was successful in one of the tests the drug needs to
pass before it can be approved by the U.S. Food & Drug
Administration. Quad worked at least as well as Gilead's
current "all-in-one" drug, Atripla. The company considers Quad
the most important drug out of the 16 in the its pipeline.
Considering the company already has an "all-in-one" HIV
treatment drug, Atripla, this may sound odd. Why would Gilead
continue to develop a drug that is only at least as effective as
a drug it already sells?
Altripla combines three different drugs, two owned by Gilead and
the other by Bristol-Myers Squibb (NYSE: BMY). Instead of
having to share profits with Bristol-Myers Squibb, Quad will
consist of drugs created and patented by Gilead.
Quad and Altripla are administered once a day and, thus,
reduce the amount of pills patients need to take. That's where
they get their "all-in-one" name. The new drug, Quad, consists
of four drugs, Truvada, a two-drug combination, and two
unapproved experimental drugs -- elvitegravir and GS9350. The
two experimental drugs are part of Gilead's pipeline.
Initial studies of the drug look promising. Elvitegravir, which
stops the virus from spreading, will be used in Quad. It appears
to have fewer side effects, like dizziness and birth defects,
than similar compounds like Sustiva, which is made by
Bristol-Myers Squibb and used in Altripla.
HIV drugs accounted for 81% of Gilead's $5.3 billion in 2008
revenue. Generic versions of its drugs won't be threatening
Gilead's revenue any time soon. Most of the company's key
patents won't start to expire for another 10 years.
Gilead is not idly sitting around in the meantime. In addition
to four HIV drugs in the pipeline, the company has been
aggressively acquiring rivals to diversify its drug portfolio.
For instance, Gilead bought Myogen in 2006 to expand its stable
of cardiac drugs. The acquisition added Letaris, a drug that
treats hypertension, to Gilead's lineup. Letaris accounted for
2.7% of Gilead's $1.8 billion in revenue in the third quarter
ended Sept. 30, 2009. That's not a large portion of revenue, but
sales of Letaris are increasing fast: They shot up +52% in the
third quarter from the year-ago period.
Another drug Gilead is working on is Aztreonam, which recently
received good news from the
Anti-Infective Drugs Advisory Committee of the FDA. The
committee ruled that Aztreonam, which is used to treat lung
infections in patients with cystic fibrosis, was safe and
effective.
The FDA is not obligated to follow the committees' decision, but
it usually does. Aztreonam is already available in Europe and
Canada, and it's expected to win FDA approved in the United
States. If it does, it will boost Gilead's non-HIV related
revenue.
The April 2009 acquisition of CV Therapeutics, another
heart-related drug maker, gave Gilead control of Ranexa, a drug
used to treat angina. The drug generated $49 million in
third-quarter 2009. Sales are predicted to peak at $500 million.
Even after this purchase, Gilead still has $1.5 billion in cash
on hand.
Gilead has an industry-leading operating margin of 49.7%. In
comparison, Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ) and Bristol
Myers both have an operating margin of 28.3%.
Gilead shares are trading at a -38% discount to their historic
5-year average earnings multiple, compared with an average
discount of -29% for companies in the S&P Biotech index. Gilead
has outperformed its index by an impressive +1,164% during the
past decade.
Gilead's command of the market for HIV treatments is secure, as
most of its key patents won't expire for another 10 years. This
puts the company in an enviable position, and buying shares
could be a great opportunity to get shares of a great biotech
company at a discount.
-- Francisco Bermea
Staff Writer
Street
Authority
P.S. So how did Gilead stock shoot up so fast over the past
decade? Two words: profit catalysts. If you remember your high
school chemistry, catalysts are agents that speed reactions
between substances. It works the same way in investing. A profit
catalyst is something that creates a dramatic impact on a
company's fortunes... and triggers a sudden rush into its
stock. The StreetAuthority Market Advisor newsletter
ONLY recommends stocks that have strong profit catalysts. That's
why they recommended Gilead back in 2001 -- and that's why their
readers have seen +521% gains to date with this stock. So what
"profit catalyst" stocks are the folks at
Market Advisor recommending today? I'd say to start with
their Top Ten Stocks for 2010 report. They just released it last
week, so it's a perfect time to get in on their favorite picks
at they same time they are.
Check out the report here. |