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Published: January 25, 2010
The fourth-largest grocer in the United
States was in trouble.
Its debt was growing and its earnings were shrinking, an
unsustainable combination. It needed a turnaround -- and quick.
That's exactly what Supervalu (NYSE: SVU) got when last
May it hired Craig Herkert, former head of Wal-Mart Stores,
Inc's (NYSE: WMT) Americas division.
Herkert's top priorities when he became CEO were to cut expenses
and cut prices.
Wal-Mart became the world's largest retailer by delivering
consumers the low prices they wanted. Herkert's first move as
CEO was to move away from the high-low pricing model used in
most Supervalu stores. Consumers didn't come to the store for a
deal on one product and then stick around to purchase other
relatively high-priced items, especially during a recession.
Instead, Herkert is using Wal-Mart's playbook and changing the
pricing scheme to everyday low prices. Customers who believe a
store is always going to offer the best price are loyal
shoppers, something Wal-Mart has proven conclusively.
SuperValu shares are trading at a -47.2% discount from their
five-year average. Herkert seems to think they are a good deal;
he just bought 25,000 shares, recent SEC filings show.
Supervalu's sales were $9.2 billion in the third quarter ended
Dec. 5, 2009, slightly less than $10.2 billion in the previous
year. Some of the decline can be attributed to closing
underperforming stores.
Selling assets helped offset Supervalu's selling and
administrative expenses, reducing the total to $1.75 billion
from $1.92 billion a year ago. Supervalu also cut its total
liabilities by -6.7%, which saved the company $12 million in
interest expense.
The company's cost cutting efforts paid off. Despite soft
sales, Supervalu exceeded analysts' estimates and increased its
earnings to $109 million, compared with a $2.9 billion loss the
previous year.
Supervalu's goal is not just to become more efficient by cutting
costs. The company recently said it plans to aggressively expand
its discount grocery chain, Save-A-Lot. The company has about
1,200 Save-A-Lot locations and it plans to double that figure
during the next five years.
The Save-A-Lot retail chain is an everyday low price operator.
It’s a limited assortment retailer, meaning it focuses on top
selling items, and operates stores that are smaller than the
typical supermarket. Its cost advantage allows it to keep prices
low and still be profitable.
It's not just frugal shoppers that will benefit from expansion.
The new Save-A-Lot discount stores will diversify its current
portfolio of about 1,300 traditional grocery stores. The
company's revenue should be more resilient during economic
downturns as penny-pinching consumers try to conserve cash.
Supervalu recently cut its quarterly dividend from $0.18 to
$0.09. The cash will help pay for Supervalu's new discount
stores and pay down its debt. The money will build shareholder
value in the long run, instead of lining investor's pockets in
the short-term.
Even with the dividend cut, the share yield 2.3% and look cheap
based on fundamentals.
| Company |
P/E |
5-Yr P/E Avg. |
% Below Average |
| Supervalu (NYSE: SVU) |
5.6 |
10.6 |
-47.2% |
| Safeway (NYSE: SWY) |
10.6 |
14.5 |
-26.9% |
| Kroger (NYSE: KR) |
12.2 |
15.5 |
-21.3% |
The recession has been difficult
for grocers, especially for those with high price points.
Consumers have been trading down to less expensive items and
flocking to low-price vendors. Supervalu's transformation into a
low-price operator could prove to be a strong
profit catalyst for the company (Catalysts
are the reason 42 out of 52 of these stocks are up).
Investors with a long-term investment horizon could follow
Herkert's lead and pick up shares at a discount.
-- Francisco Bermea
Staff Writer
StreetAuthority |