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Published: March 17, 2010
Investors with a pulse have no doubt heard
about Brazil's potential by now. After all, given the multi-year
run-up in Brazil's main exchange, the Bovespa, and the
announcement that the 2016 Olympic Games will be held in Rio de
Janiero, it's a little hard to ignore. But make no mistake --
this country is just getting started.
Brazil already has a litany of accomplishments to boast about:
reducing quadruple-digit hyperinflation as recently as the
mid-1990s to mid-single digits today, reducing massive debt
levels and lowering unemployment. Along with this, also count
the transformation from the world's largest emerging market
debtor to becoming a creditor nation with an investment-grade
rating. Factor in an enormous wealth of commodities from timber
to sugar to oil -- and you begin to get the idea.
All of which goes to say that while Brazil has come a long way,
there is still much ground to cover. And while exchange-traded
funds such as iShares MSCI Brazil (NYSE: EWZ) give
investors a snapshot of the Brazilian economy, it is only skin
deep. For example, energy and materials make up 55% of EWZ's
portfolio. Like many broad developing-market ETFs, it holds
large-cap, export-driven behemoths like mining giant Vale
(NYSE: VALE) that are dependent on demand from other
countries rather than internal forces.
That's not to say EWZ is a bad option for investors. It just
depends on what you're looking for. Instead, how about a new
twist on Brazil? Something that captures what's going on inside
Brazil rather than what's stimulating growth from the outside?
And something that holds the future powerhouses of Brazil and
not the lumbering giants?
Market Vectors Brazil Small-Cap ETF (NYSE: BRF) does just
that. The fund is one of a string of recent specialized,
country-specific ETFs to hit the market.
Despite all the progress, Brazil still as a long way to go.
Although not at the oppressive levels of the past, poverty
remains high. If unemployment can remain relatively low and
wages rise, this country of around 200 million people could
become a major consumer powerhouse. Fortunately, that's right in
BRF's wheelhouse.
There are a few key factors to note regarding the small-cap
focus of this fund. It is likely to be more volatile than funds
like EWZ, but could potentially have more upside. So far that
has been the case, as shown by the table below:
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The top two sector weightings for BRF are
financial services (31.0%) and consumer goods (15.5%). Many of
BRF's top holdings may be unfamiliar to attuned observers of
emerging markets like Brazil. That's OK. Just know that many of
the holdings are up-and-comers that could be tomorrow's giants
in Brazil. BRF is a play on the rise of the consumer within
Brazil, so that's to be expected. And no holding accounts for
more than 5% of the portfolio, so the risk is evenly spread.
An emerging middle class would be an enormous step forward for
Brazil. BRF has already given investors enormous returns since
inception, but it should have a lot more ground to cover should
a middle class emerge. Any time a new member joins the ranks and
demands banking services, health care, grocery stores and
housing, BRF's holdings will be winners. The fund is an
excellent candidate for investors looking for niche
international
diversification.
-- Brad Briggs
Staff Writer
Street
Authority
P.S. Exchange-traded funds are the only investment
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