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Published: March 23, 2010
Markets don't like uncertainty, and a big
chunk of it was removed Sunday after Congress passed landmark
health care legislation that will extend benefits to 32 million
uninsured Americans.
As the dust settled the day after America "answered the call of
history," as President Obama put it, health care stocks
generally strengthened. Some of the biggest health gainers
Monday were drug and hospital companies, while insurance
companies were pressured by fears of greater restrictions
contained in the legislation.
So, now what?
Reams have already been written about the ongoing politics of
the legislation and what it means for individuals in terms of
health care and insurance coverage. But what about from an
investing perspective?
We asked some StreetAuthority experts for their take on
healthcare in the wake of the bill's passage, and here's what
they had to say:

Amy Calistri |
Aging baby boomers were already expected to put an
additional strain on an already tight supply of nurses
in the United States. Prior to the passage of the new
healthcare bill, a U.S. government study projected a
shortage of one million nurses by 2020. Pile on another
32 million Americans who will now be covered by
healthcare insurance under the new law and the demand
for nurses will only rise. The new law doesn't kick in
until 2014, giving high school students a solid career
path -- and the employment-challenged enough time to
retrain for an in demand degree. And that boosts my
outlook for the for-profit education company DeVry
(NYSE: DV). DeVry's healthcare education is one of
its higher
margin segments, and already is delivering 25% of
its revenues. |
-- Amy Calistri
Chief Investment Strategist
Stock of the Month,
The Daily Paycheck

Mike Turner |
Irrespective of the ultimate merits or lack thereof
regarding the massive new entitlement program, the
market is taking it all in stride. Investors are focused
on debt, global economic stability, corporate earnings,
interest rates, etc., which all points to a ‘normal’
market dealing with ‘normal’ economic vagaries.
Conventional wisdom says insurance stocks will
ultimately get hurt because of this legislation. But,
for the time being, owning health insurance companies
makes a lot of sense to me, since virtually everyone
will be "forced" to own it. At the moment I like
Aflac Incorporated (NYSE: AFL) and Catalyst
Health Solutions, Inc. (Nasdaq: CHSI). |
-- Mike Turner
Chief Trading Expert
Mastering the Markets

Nathan Slaughter |
Now that the healthcare debate is over,
it's clear that big changes are coming. As with any
massive regulatory overhaul, some companies are cowering
in fear while others are chomping at the bit. Those
capable of trimming fat from the system will be the
ultimate winners, which is why I'm looking at
biogenerics as an area of opportunity. Name brand
biotech drugs can be prohibitively expensive -- the
cancer drug Avastin costs up to $100,000 annually.
Biogenerics are already saving lives and cutting
healthcare costs in Europe, and the recently-signed
legislation provides guidelines for formal FDA approval
of a "pathway" for biogenerics. I'm already bullish on
generic drug makers like Hospira (NYSE: HSP) and
Teva Pharmaceuticals (Nasdaq: TEVA), and if
biogenerics are given regulatory green light, these two
stocks could soar. |
-- Nathan Slaughter
Chief Investment Strategist
Market Advisor,
The ETF Authority

Andy
Obermueller |
Transitioning the nation to digital medical records
is a $16 billion element of President Obama's stimulus
package and a key aspect of any health care reform. The
leading vendors in this area were among the first
additions to the
Government-Driven Investing portfolio
in our inaugural May 2009 issue. athenaHealth (Nasdaq:
ATHN) is a leader in this field with its software that
devises and deploys digital medical records systems. The
company's website goes so far as to guarantee its
customers that they will receive the stimulus payments
for switching to digital medical records. Given the
massive dollars Uncle Sam is pouring into digital
medicals records, what this really spells is opportunity
for growth-oriented investors willing to understand the
accounting issues rather than react to Wall Street's
anxiety. |
--Andy Obermueller
Chief Income Strategist
Government-Driven Investing

Carla
Pasternak |
It's true that on the downside, the pharmaceutical
industry will face about $90 billion in new taxes and
fees as a result of the legislation. However, the
industry benefits in other ways. Prescription dollar
values should rise as a number of new markets open since
various groups of new people will now have access to
preventative medication and insurance will help them
pay. That should help Bristol-Myers Squibb Company’s
(NYSE: BMY) sales as well as the revenues of a number of
the major drug company peers. Further, despite a strong
push by generic drug companies to reduce the
competition-free period to seven years, the new
legislation sets it at 12 years. That should help BMY
maximize revenues on the new drugs it introduces from
its pipeline.
Fundamentally, BMY sells at a trailing
P/E
of 5.0. If that seems ridiculously cheap, it is
particularly so when analysts' estimates that earnings
will grow +9.8% between 2010 and 2011 are factored in. BMY has a one-year
PEG (PE / Earnings Growth Rate) of
0.51 (4.97/9.80). Anything less than 1 is considered
cheap. BMY sports a return on equity of 23.4%, nearly
1.6 times that of the S&P 500's 14.8. When I bought the
stock for my portfolio 13 months ago, BMY had paid
$1.15. Since then, the dividend has been increased twice
and the annual payout is now $1.24. The company has paid
out a reasonable 66.3% of its last 12 month's earnings
in dividends. |
--Carla Pasternak
Chief Income Strategist
High-Yield Investing,
High-Yield
International
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