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Published: July 22, 2010
Anytime Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) is
involved in something, investors take notice.
Goldman has received plenty of bad press lately, but the fact
remains that they are Wall Street's most powerful name. They are
among the largest global
investment bank in the world, and offer just about every
kind of investment product known to man.
They have $880 billion dollars in assets. And despite a large
revenue drop in 2009, they still had
net income of almost $14 billion. The firm's traders didn't
lose money a single day during first quarter of 2010.
And while it attracted SEC attention, it was Goldman that
packaged those toxic mortgages into derivatives and sold them to
pension funds, then turned around and shorted them. If you'd
shorted the housing market you would be sitting on a fortune.
So if Goldman sells a company and doesn't hold on to any stake,
then it makes sense to not buy the company. You may even want to
short it.
But if Goldman sells part of a company and holds onto the rest,
then you might have found your next investment. More often than
not, Goldman Sachs is going to be on the right side of a trade.
That's exactly the situation I've uncovered.
When Goldman Sachs and Providence Equity Partners purchased a
relatively unknown education company back in 2006, then turned
around and spun it off late last year (but with Goldman Sachs
keeping 38% for itself), investors had a chance to piggyback
their play on unemployment... and still do.
Goldman Sachs and Providence obviously see something in this
education company that the market appears to be missing. That's
the fact that this company's schools offer different specialties
than its competitors, and offer ones that will be increasingly
relevant going forward.
Particularly compelling is that it has been quietly buying up
art institutes all over the country. These institutes offer
associate's, bachelor's, and master's degree programs, as well
as selective non-degree diploma programs in creative professions
-- graphic design, web design and interactive media, among
others.
Unless you've been living under a rock, you know that the world
of entertainment content production and consumption is
undergoing an extraordinary change. All of the above specialties
are in high demand, and will be even more so as the Internet and
other forms of media evolve (think of the proliferation of smart
phones' content during the past few years).
Meanwhile, the company also offers degrees
in more traditional areas like behavioral sciences, education,
business and nursing.
These are the core reasons why Goldman still owns a big stake in
Education Management Corporation (Nasdaq: EDMC).
Before I realized Goldman owned a stake, the company first came
on my radar because
mutual fund manager extraordinaire Ron Baron (one of the
Forbes 400 richest Americans) has held competitor DeVry Inc.
(NYSE: DV) for about 20 years. But I think DeVry has seen
the last of its high-growth days.
The secular trend, however, remains for this sector. Mr. Baron
himself says, "America's state and community colleges, due to
constraints on state budgets, are reducing enrollments and
programs, creating even greater demand for proprietary
education. Because proprietary institutions [like DeVry and
Education Management] provide their graduates with an ability to
obtain gainful employment, we think the growth prospects of
these institutions remain favorable."
I would like to see Education Management's profit margins
continue to strengthen. They came in around 12% last quarter --
bounding higher from just 3% the quarter before. This, however,
is still lower than both DeVry and Apollo Group (Nasdaq: APOL).
The less stringent gross margins (revenue - cost of goods sold),
however, are almost equivalent at more than 50%. This means its
profit margins are directly related to expenses, which can be
brought under control. I trust management will see these numbers
improve as time goes on, especially with 38% owner Goldman Sachs
breathing down their neck.
Action to Take --> Shares of
EDMC and other education companies have seen wild swings during
the past couple of months. Much of this comes from uncertainties
regarding an upcoming proposal by the Department of Education to
reign in excessive student loans.
But if you're an aggressive investor, I think it's looking like
a great time to buy. With Goldman Sachs backing the shares, I
think the drop in price is an overreaction. There's simply too
much demand, and the government will not let education falter at
a time when it is needed most.
-- Frederick Steier
Contributor
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