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Published: August 9, 2010
Warren Buffett and his geeky,
bridge-playing sidekick Bill Gates have talked 40 billionaires,
including some of the business world's marquee names, into
giving half their fortunes to charity.
It's an interesting scenario: If the avuncular Buffett showed up
at your house and asked you to donate half your assets, what
would you do?
Well, I'll tell you exactly what I would do. I'd throw
Buffett out. And his little buddy, too.
I will do whatever I like with whatever assets I have.
Condescending public displays of noblesse oblige don't impress
me. They strike me as new-money gauche, like some parvenu
dentist who gives a few bucks to the local art museum and then
sends a news release about it to the local paper. I mean, c'mon.
Barf.
If you want to give money away, then do it. I applaud that. But
do it for the sake of true charity, with the aim of helping
those in need. Don't do it for the sake of justifying your
wealth or inflating your own terrific-ness. My parents and
grandparents taught me that in polite society that means quietly
sending a check and saying absolutely nothing other than "Glad
to help. You're welcome."
The bottom line is I feel guilty about exactly none of the
dollars I have been able to amass, and what I do with it is
between my wife and I. The only thing I even remotely respect
about Buffett's move is that he's keeping Uncle Sam at bay:
Functionally all of his $40 billion wealth is in Berkshire
Hathaway (NYSE: BRK-B) stock, which he has never realized a
profit on and, thus, never paid taxes for. So Buffett is keeping
the folks at the
IRS (Proud motto: "Always here to help") from sending what
may be one of the largest tax bills in history. Good for him.
I'm not impressed with Saint Buffett's Billionaire Challenge.
Not at all. But I am impressed with the uber-investor's ongoing
multimillionaire challenge. Never has one man tried so hard to
make so many people so much money.
And never gotten a dime for it.
Buffett is, at his core, a teacher. Early in his career as a
stock broker in Omaha, he taught investing classes. Now he is
involved in helping children learn about personal finance. He
also speaks about complex financial topics in clear,
understandable terms, both when he speaks to the media and at
Berkshire Hathaway's annual shareholder's meeting, which
consists of him answering questions for six hours.
What's more, his annual letters to shareholders are among the
best business writing ever. Any investor who sits down and reads
even one year's letter will be enriched by it. Reading five or
10 years of annual letters is the equivalent of going to
graduate business school. And Buffett, who could publish a
bestselling investment book every year, gives it all away for
free.
Are you prepared for the Buffett Multimillionaire Challenge?
He's been offering it for years. Here are the five elements of
it:
1. Learn about what you're investing in.
Like all of Buffett's truisms, this one seems glaringly obvious.
But most investors do no research into the areas they're
investing in. Buffett, on the other hand, is obsessed. He loves
industry publications, research reports, newsletters and
anything else that can help him analyze and contextualize what
is going on.
Buffett, as one of America's most respected businessmen, can
arrange a sit-down with anyone he wants. When he does, he's
prepared. Dozens of chief executives -- and managers of
businesses Buffett owns -- have all said, "I was amazed at how
much he knew about my business."
The corollary to this element of the Buffett challenge is that
people should never invest in something they don't understand.
If you can't teach an 11 year-old about the company, its
products, its prospects and how it makes money -- then you do
not understand the business adequately. If you've never looked
at the
income statement or taken a long-term study of the
balance sheet, then you have no business owning the stock.
You might as well go to Las Vegas. Buffett might well tell you
your chances would be better there, though he would probably
suggest an S&P 500
index fund instead.
2. Look at your investment from an ownership perspective.
Fact: People drive more aggressively in rental cars than they do
in their own vehicles. No trick to understanding that: We're
inclined to take better care of something we own and must be
responsible for than we are of something we rent and will never
see again.
That's Buffett's message about his investments. He doesn't
consider himself an investor. Rather, he looks at his role as
the owner. When he looks at a huge holding like Mid-American,
Berkshire's utility business, he doesn't look at it just for the
free cash flow. He examines the financials and consults with the
managers as a steward of the business, concerned not with
short-term performance but with long-term health.
Rare is the individual investor who does this. We see a security
we own that gains or loses and the first thought we have is
whether we should sell it. The owner, on the other hand, sees
every dip as a chance to buy and every gain as another step
toward realizing an asset's intrinsic value. Buying or selling
is always an option, just never the first reflex. The first step
is to learn about your investments. The second is to begin to
treat them as if you were the owner of the entire company.
3. Hunker down for the long haul.
Buffett says he operates on the premise that the New York Stock
Exchange could be shut down and not reopen for five years and it
wouldn't hurt Berkshire at all. That's because short-term gains
don't have a key place in the Berkshire model.
The entire company is built on achieving predictable,
sustainable growth over the long haul. And over the long haul,
from 1965 to the end of 2009, Buffett has achieved a compound
rate of growth in the
book value of Berkshire's stock of +20.3%, more than twice
the total annualized return of the S&P during that time, +9.3%.
Overall, Berkshire has gained +434,057% to the benchmark's
+5,430% advance during that time.
Now, it's a myth that Buffett never sells. He does. But it
should be pointed out that those sales are just as likely to be
because the company has disappointed its owner rather than
simply because Berkshire wanted to harvest some capital gains.
Buffett occasionally takes gains, but only if he can prove that
he earned an outstanding rate of return -- and that further
gains are unlikely.
Pick stocks you can live with, and hang on to them as long as
the reason you bought them remains valid. If the company, its
management or underlying conditions undergo a material change,
then there's nothing wrong with selling.
4. Choose leading companies with sustainable competitive
advantages and minimal capital requirements -- and try to get
them cheap.
Outstanding businesses will always grow and attract a
disproportionate share of their respective markets. If they can
do that without taking too much cash, all the better. (That's
the owner perspective again -- no one wants to buy something
that's just going to eat cash year after year.)
And yet this is the part of the Buffett challenge where most
investors fail. It's not the selection of companies, it's the
pricing.
The fact is, investors as a class behave as a herd. They buy
when everyone buys and they sell when everyone sells. This, of
course, is absolutely counterintuitive when one has a clear
head. But under the panic of the constantly moving and
unpredictable market, 99 investors out of 100 don't have the
intestinal fortitude to buy when everyone else is selling and to
sell when everyone else is buying. There's some element of human
nature that makes the concept of "value" investing very
difficult to stomach.
This is what has made Buffett his billions. He didn't get uber-rich
by earning a predictable +8% a year. That's how he maintains
Berkshire now because of its size. But in the early years,
Buffett bought stocks cheap and held them dear, patiently
waiting until the right moment to sell came along.
Sometimes a broker would call offering shares of a company at a
certain low price. Buffett's answer was always the same:
"Unthinkable." He'd keep waiting, sometimes for a dime and
sometimes for a dollar. This combination of discipline, patience
and courage is the hardest part of the Buffett challenge. It is
also the most critical part because, unlike the others, it
cannot be easily taught. It's a function of character as much as
of intellect.
5. Seek to outperform in bad years rather than good years.
"We have done a lot of stupid things," Berkshire Vice Chairman
Charlie Munger said at this year's shareholder meeting. "But we
have done less stupid things than many others."
Munger always gets laughs. His sense of humor is very dry, his
delivery is deadpan. But there's just one thing: Munger wasn't
kidding. He could have passed a polygraph with that line. He
absolutely believes it.
Outperforming the market in good years is only half the trick.
To be ultra-successful, an investor also has to outperform the
market in bad years. Breaking even in a bad year is some trick,
but do it only a couple of times in a long course of able
management and you look almost god-like. In 2008, when the S&P
tanked -37%, Berkshire receded only -9.6%. The next year, the
company started way ahead, with far less ground to make up.
Buffett has beaten the S&P in all but six years since he took
over in 1965, including a spectacular string from 1981 to 1999
where he twice posted strongly positive results as the broader
market slipped.
One key element of this is Berkshire's longstanding practice to
keep plenty of cash on hand in case opportunity arises. When the
financial crisis came, Berkshire was one of the few companies
with significant cash on hand to lend, and Buffett cut some
sweet deals, including multibillion-dollar loans to General
Electric (NYSE: GE) and Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS). If
Buffett didn't have the cash on hand, he would have likely been
unable to do those deals. The trick is to keep some dry powder
on hand and to orient your portfolio to generate positive
results even when the broader market and the
economy are in tatters.
Action to Take --> These are
the five elements of the Buffett Multimillionaire Challenge.
Find good companies you understand, buy them at a good price for
the long haul and seek to outperform in bad years as well as
good, always keeping plenty of cash on hand.
The Oracle of Omaha has been espousing these exact same tenets
for more than 40 years. Those who have listened to his sage
advice and been able to mirror Buffett's discipline have seen
their fortunes increase almost boundlessly, some to an
astounding multimillion or even billion-dollar net worth.
After all that, if they see fit to give it away -- then I guess
that's up to them.
-- Andy Obermueller
Chief Investment Strategist
Government-Driven Investing,
Fast-Track Millionaire |