Monday, August 11, 2008
Volume 2, Issue #28
Published weekly, the TopStockAnalysts Digest is loaded with stock picks, trading ideas, market commentary, and educational guidance designed to help you become a better investor. To ensure uninterrupted delivery of this newsletter, please follow these simple instructions.
Table of Contents
1. Market Update 2. Russia 3. Chipotle (CMG) 4. Additional Investing Ideas 5. Investor Trivia -- The Lighter Side of Financials 6. Featured Topic -- A New Frontier for Gains 7. Free Investing Resources
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Today's Top Stock Picks
High Yield Strategy: The Billionaire Watch To find some of the world's highest yields, just follow the money -- or in this case, the billionaires. Read More. . . Another Chance to Pick Up this Growing, High-Quality Restaurant Chain It's hard to decide which is better -- Chipotle's (CMG) food or a chance to pick up this stock at a bargain. Read More. . .
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Market Update
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With tumbling crude prices deflecting lingering economic concerns, the major averages have just put together one of their strongest weekly showings in months. However, uneven trading early on gave little hint of that. In fact, traders were greeted on Monday with disconcerting news from the Commerce Department that consumer spending rose just +0.6% in June, respectable, before considering that prices for goods and services jumped +0.8%. In other words, spending actually dipped -0.2% on an inflation-adjusted basis, even with the aid of tax rebates. And lackluster July same-store sales tallies from Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) and other retailers suggest that the situation has not improved in recent weeks. Fortunately, there was good news on other fronts. Factory orders are up, pending home sales showed a surprise uptick, and the critical service sector of the economy rebounded at a much brisker pace than expected last month. The key catalyst, though, has been the continued free fall in crude prices. After peaking at near $150 per barrel, oil prices have retreated precipitously -- falling all the way back below $116 on Friday. There have been several factors behind the pullback: a strengthening dollar, a larger than expected build in crude stockpiles, even a benign path by tropical storm Edouard away from any major production facilities in the Gulf. Whatever the reason, Wall Street has cheered the dramatic turnaround. Suddenly, market leadership has now flip-flopped, with consumer discretionary stocks racing forward and the energy sector in full retreat. Thanks to a pair of hefty triple-digit gains, the Dow Industrials finished the week with a solid gain of more than 400 points (+3.6%), and tech stocks were even stronger. Since climbing as high as $4.11 per gallon, average gas prices have slid more than -$0.25 nationwide. That's a lot of quarters going back into the pockets of everyday shoppers. That's welcome news for a host of consumer-oriented companies -- including casual diners like Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE: CMG, $73.58). And below, Half-Priced Stocks editor Nathan Slaughter explains why now may be the time for investors to take advantage of the happy hour prices for this undervalued company. Also on tap for today, High-Yield International editor Nick Lanyi serves up an interesting demographic study of the world's most affluent. If you have aspirations of one day seeing your name alongside those of billionaires like Carlos Slim, then you might want to begin by following their lead and investing overseas. Good Investing!
-- Nathan Slaughter Co-Editor TopStockAnalysts Digest
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High Yield Strategy: The Billionaire Watch by Nick Lanyi, Editor -- High-Yield International
A billion dollars may not be what it used to be, but it's still a serious pile of cash. So why are more and more of the world's most eye-popping fortunes being made in foreign countries? Because that's where the growth is. Companies in these red-hot economies are not only trouncing their U.S. counterparts in terms of capital appreciation, they're also paying luxuriant yields and in strong currencies. You can add new life to your income stream with surprisingly little risk if you just keep your eyes on the world's billionaires. The U.S. all-star team used to lead the league. Now they're barely warming the bench. Five years ago, nine of the top ten richest people in the world were U.S. citizens. Five were members of one family. Now, only Warren Buffett and Bill Gates are on the top-ten list, and just two other Yanks had vast enough fortunes to afford themselves a spot in the top 25.
The list of the world's richest folks is compiled by the editors of Forbes Magazine early each summer. Bill Gates had been at the top of the list for more than a decade. But this year he was finally dethroned by Buffett, his friend and bridge partner, as well as by Mexican telecom baron Carlos Slim, who snatched the No. 2 spot. Gates' $58 billion hoard now ranks third -- though that can hardly be considered a bad place to be. In all, 31 Americans made the top 100. But that's -26% lower than it was just five years ago. Did all our U.S. billionaires move away? What happened?
The short answer: The world woke up -- and got busy. India and Russia have produced wealth at such a fast rate, and a few of their oligarchs have managed to grow their fortunes at such an astonishing clip that they're displacing even the most well-heeled Americans. To wit: Only one of the 100 wealthiest people hailed from India in 2003. Today 13 Indians are on that exclusive roster. The ranks of Russian billionaires, meanwhile, grew from three in 2003 to 19 today.
These are not your father's emerging markets: These are, after all, the countries that have created enough wealth to relegate old-line U.S. dynasties like Walton, Mars, Pritzker and Newhouse to almost second-class status. It's true that as recently as a decade ago, the prospect of owning stock in any non-European foreign country would have seemed far too risky. But times have changed. With the exception of our own dollar, currencies have stabilized. Democratic reforms have cast tin-pot dictators onto the ash heap of history. Eastern European, South American, African and Far East markets have been opened to outside investment and have been stabilized by not only globalization but by the information revolution as well. These countries got with the program; all that's left is for you to join them. In 2003, three Russians were on Forbes' list of 100 wealthiest people. They were worth a combined $18 billion, a teeny little 4% fraction of the $414 billion held by U.S. billionaires. This year, the now 18 Russians on the list are worth $267 billion, nearly half the U.S. billionaires' $573 trove and a 1,383% increase overall. Are there any good investment opportunities left in Russia? Yes. Investors are absolutely basking in red-hot Russian economy: They're not only inking huge returns, they're protecting their portfolios from the weak dollar. And many of the Russian stocks pay fat dividends, so these investors are raking in rubles, too.
In fact, I profiled a world-beating fund earlier this year in an issue of my premium newsletter. The fund invests half its assets in Russia and distributed $10.442 last year for a yield of 62% at current share prices!! It's benefiting from Russia's immense reserves of oil, natural gas, and other commodities, as well as its proximity to vital European and Asian markets. Russia's most prominent corporate names -- Lukoil, Gazprom, Norilsk Nickel -- make up a quarter of this fund. And bear in mind that these three companies alone have added five names to the top 100 list of the world's wealthiest. Not one of these industrial barons was on the top 100 list five years ago: Today, they're worth a combined $78.6 billion. Now I can't promise that all the investments in Russia have quite that lofty a yield, but the region is certainly fertile ground for income investors. You may not be able to become a billionaire -- that's a tall order. But you can make money from the same companies that are creating those megafortunes -- and without learning a new language or cultivating an affinity for vodka and zakuska. If you'd like to learn the name of this fund -- plus receive a steady stream of foreign stocks, preferreds, and other investing ideas with abnormally high dividend yields each and every month -- then I'd like to extend you a personal invitation to try my premium investing newsletter . . . High-Yield International. Visit this link to learn more.
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Another Chance to Pick Up this Growing, High-Quality Restaurant Chain by Nathan Slaughter -- Half-Priced Stocks
Additional Investing Ideas
Investor Trivia -- The Lighter Side of Financials
Financial stocks make up 50% or more of many equity-income fund portfolios. Which of these funds devotes less than 20% to the financial sector -- and still provides a hefty 15.2% yield to boot? A.) Alpine Global Dividend (NYSE: AGD) B.) Kayne Anderson Energy Total Return (KYE) C.) Vanguard Dividend Appreciation (VIG) D.) WisdomTree Europe Dividend (DEB) E.) First Trust Value Line Dividend (FVD)
(Please click on one the links above. After you make your choice, we'll show you the correct answer on our web site.)
Featured Topic -- A New Frontier For Gains
Most investors have never even heard of Namibia, a country about half the size of Alaska located on the southwestern coast of Africa. Namibia has an arid climate and a population of just over 2 million, but it's also a nation of extraordinary natural resource wealth -- including uranium, lead and diamonds. Investors might be surprised to hear that the tiny Namibian stock market is up more than +200% since the S&P 500 hit its October 11, 2007 high. That's impressive -- particularly when you consider the S&P 500 is down more than -15% since that date. Most European markets are also lower since that time, some down even more sharply than the U.S. Of course, the Namibian market is tiny and obscure, but it's not alone -- there are plenty of smaller foreign stock markets that have handily outperformed the S&P 500 in recent years.
Located half a world away in Asia is Vietnam, nation with a population of 87 million and a per-capita gross domestic product of just $2,600. The communist government in Vietnam has been taking steps to open up the nation's economy and encourage foreign investment and trade. Now the economy is booming and so is the market. Despite a drop in the Vietnamese Ho Chi Minh Stock Index over the past few months, it is still up close to +200% over the past five years. That's equivalent to an annualized gain of nearly +25%. Important Note: Because this article is fairly extensive, we could not include it in its entirety in today's newsletter. You can find the remainder of this article on our web site. Please visit this link to continue reading this article.
Free Investing Resources
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Good investing in the coming weeks!
Nathan Slaughter Co-Editor TopStockAnalysts Digest
Paul Tracy Co-Editor TopStockAnalysts Digest
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