Tuesday, January 13, 2009
Volume 3, Issue #2
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Furthermore, billionaire industrialist T. Boone Pickens has been saturating the airwaves with commercials for the "Pickens Plan" -- which involves tapping the nation's massive natural gas supply for transportation rather than electricity, and then making up the power grid shortfall with wind generation. This publicity has increased public acceptance for natural gas-powered vehicles as a way to break dependence on foreign oil. Unlike many cash-strapped alternative energy companies, FSYS is enjoying healthy revenue growth and churning out growing profits. In the first quarter of 2008, management confidently raised its full-year sales forecast to $320 million and predicted gross profit margins to hit 24%. After the second quarter, the company increased its revenue guidance to $350 million and expected margins to touch 27%. And now after the third quarter, management has boosted expectations yet again, with the latest outlook calling for sales of $385 million and margins of 29%. So despite tough economic conditions, FSYS has raised its guidance -- three times in the past three quarters. Meanwhile, revenues have climbed +60% for the year to $298 million, and earnings have surged from $0.07 per share to $1.44 per share -- consistently crushing analysts' targets.
With accelerating sales growth and profits surging 20-fold, you might expect the shares to have gained ground, and they did for the first half of the year, marching from $10 to a peak above $60. However, they have since slid back into the low $30s, providing an attractive entry point for investors interested in this promising company.
While just about every other stock plunged last year, FSYS rewarded shareholders with a nice +128% gain. But with a fair value of $58, the shares still offer attractive upside potential in excess of +94%. Alternative fuels continue to gain in popularity for a variety of reasons. Natural gas is abundant, economical, and environmentally friendly. There are already more than 8 million vehicles equipped to run on CNG operating around the globe -- still just a tiny fraction of the world's total.
As the industry leader, FSYS looks to be a major beneficiary of this continued momentum, as well as Obama's well-known support for cleaner transportation initiatives. The company will convert more than 800,000 vehicles to natural gas this year and has just unveiled plans to launch a new automotive division in the U.S.
-- Nathan Slaughter Editor Half-Priced Stocks
Like the rest of the market, income securities have taken a big hit, leaving many investors scrambling for higher yields. But not everything has been decimated. Which of these securities groups has witnessed a +151% increase in dividend yields between 2007 and 2008? A.) TIGRs B.) Preferred stocks C.) General partnerships D.) TIPs E.) Utility stocks
(Please click on one the links above. After you make your choice, we'll show you the correct answer on our web site.)
Nathan Slaughter Co-Editor TopStockAnalysts Digest
Paul Tracy Co-Editor TopStockAnalysts Digest
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