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Wednesday, April 22, 2009

Volume 3, Issue #30

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Repair Your Portfolio with Dividends
-- By Timothy Lutts, Publisher, Cabot Wealth Advisory
The 2008 bear market drastically changed the income investing playing field. Many high-quality income stocks have been forced to slash or even suspend dividend payments. In order to revive a beaten down portfolio, it's crucial to uncover new sources of dependable dividends.

One stock that fits the bill is currently yielding a hefty 7.9% and is profiled in detail by Timothy Lutts --publisher of Cabot Wealth Advisory -- in today's issue of TopStockAnalysts Digest. (Full Story Below)

Also in Today's Issue...

How to Invest in Safety and Stability

One of the casualties of the bear market has been high-quality income producing investments. So where do you go to find these investing ideas?  Dick Davis Income Digest, the country's leading source of expert recommendations on income investments.

Income Digest brings subscribers the best income investments every month from the top minds on Wall Street. Click here to learn how to stop worrying and diversify your portfolio with income investments today.

We're Putting $50,000 on the Line in Our NEW Stock of the Month Portfolio

We're so confident in this strategy that we're putting our money where our mouth is... $50,000 worth of it in fact! That's how much we've put into a brokerage account to fund the real-money portfolio for the new StreetAuthority Stock of the Month newsletter. Editor Amy Calistri just made her first purchase, and it's not too late for you to join in and follow along with everything she does.

Don't be left on the sidelines, go here to learn more.

Repair Your Portfolio with Dividends
I received an email from a subscriber last week, asking, "What do you think about the banking sector after the M2M has been approved?  Should I get some like BAC, WFC, UBS? "
 
M2M, for the record, stands for mark-to-market, the accounting practice of valuing an institution's assets at the price the market would pay today.  Critics of the practice say mark-to-market accounting is partly responsible for the past year's market crash, and argue that institutions should be allowed to value their assets at prices they believe can be realized in a "rational market."  In fact, Representative Steve Cohen, D-Tenn., has introduced a bill that directs the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to suspend the application of mark-to-market accounting.  On the other hand, Lloyd C. Blankfein, chairman and CEO of Goldman Sachs (GS), strongly endorses mark-to-market accounting and comprehensive transparency of financial company risk.  (Goldman Sachs stock, by the way, looks pretty healthy.)
 
My correspondent, therefore, was asking whether stocks in the banking sector might be a good investment based on the expectation that repeal of mark-to-mark accounting requirements would lead to fatter balance sheets and thus higher stock prices.
 
It's a logical question, and I have a logical answer.
 
My first point is that my correspondent is not the first person to entertain this train of thought.  Thousands of professional investors have done it before him.  They've already come to their conclusions, and they've placed their bets accordingly.  Therefore the charts of the stocks that might be affected by the change reflect their conclusions.  This is a key point; the charts know all.  In fact, the charts reflect the conclusions of professionals on other factors that might influence these stocks, too.  These include the future trend of interest rates, the future of the housing market, even the possibility of increased government regulation.
 
And what do the charts say?  First, that the three stocks mentioned--Bank of America (BAC), Wells Fargo (WFC) and UBS (UBS)--have all had nice bounces in the past month.  On average, they're up 118% since the early March bottom.  They had an especially nice move last Thursday after Wells Fargo surprised analysts by projecting a record $3 billion profit for the first quarter.  This bounce, of course, coincides with the bounce of the broad market, which is up about 25% since the bottom.
 
But that doesn't mean these stocks are in long-term uptrends.  In fact, this bounce mainly gets them back up to the upper range of their downtrending channels.  And those downtrending channels are very important because they're the result of a long-term trend.  In fact, even after this big bounce, these three stocks are down, on average, 85% from their old highs.
 
Now, I tend to think that the big downtrend in financial stocks is over ... of course, I could be wrong.  But the strength in recent weeks has been very broad.  And the selling pressures have been very weak.  Furthermore, internal measurements are very positive, telling us the next bull market is getting its act together.

Still, that doesn't mean these three stocks (and other big beaten-down financials) have begun new uptrends.  History tells us, plain and simple, that a stock--or a group of stocks--that has experienced a huge damaging move will take a long time to build a base--perhaps years--before a new uptrend begins.  So the odds are against these stocks climbing much higher in the weeks and months ahead.

Certainly, there will be movement.  Institutional ownership of these stocks is widespread, and we think many institutions will be using this bounce to trim their positions in these stocks as they move into sectors with better growth characteristics.  Traders will happily jump in and out of these stocks in their short-term gyrations.  But I think your prospects are far better in other sectors, and I discuss a few below.
 


How to Invest in Safety and Stability

One of the casualties of the recent bear market has been high-quality income producing investments. So where do you go to get high-quality, lower-risk income investing ideas?

Dick Davis Income Digest, the country's leading source of expert recommendations on income investments--often with big dividends and high yields.

Income Digest brings subscribers the best income investments every month from the top minds on Wall Street. Each month, the editors of Income Digest pore over dozens of newsletters to select the top income investments so you don't have to.

Click here to learn how to stop worrying and diversify your portfolio with income investments today.


One of the reasons for holding falling financial stocks like BAC, WFC and UBS so long was their dividends. And I understand--regular dividends often cushion the blow from falling prices. But just last month, Wells Fargo chopped its quarterly dividend from 34 cents to five cents. Bank of America's quarterly dividend has been slashed from 64 cents to a penny. And UBS has suspended its dividend entirely!

Bottom line: you can't even justify holding these stocks for their dividends any more!

So what do you do if you want regular income? What do you do if you're retired and looking for a new source of quarterly checks? Where do you go to find investments that are safe and pay regular, dependable dividends?

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I suggest you look at Dick Davis Income Digest, our monthly publication that's chock full of investing ideas culled from the experts at the best investment newsletters. Every issue brings you dozens of ideas (some new, some follow-ups) on the best income-producing investments that are available to individual investors.

Interestingly, most of these investments are not as well known as Bank of America and Wells Fargo, and that doesn't surprise me a bit. I learned long ago that the popular, well known investments are not the best ones; if everyone knows about them, they're often priced too high. Contrarily, if most investors don't know about an investment, it may be priced too low. And that's terrific; it means that as more people learn about the investment, they'll bid its price up!

But it takes a sharp-eyed analyst to uncover these investments in their early days, and that's why Dick Davis Income Digest is such a great value--because it's full of expert advice culled from the best minds on Wall Street.

For example, the latest issue of Dick Davis Income Digest featured a company called Magellan Midstream Holdings (MGG), the general partner (GP) of Magellan Partners (MMP), one of the nation's largest midstream energy companies. Its holdings encompass more than 80 petroleum terminals and 10,000 miles of pipeline. And its dividend is a hefty 7.9%. Nathan Slaughter, of Half-Priced Stocks, wrote, "As long as the country needs gasoline and other refined products, the cash generated by these assets is virtually untouchable. But here's the best part. As the general partner, MGG owns valuable incentive distribution rights that give it an ever-growing slice of the pie. So every time the limited partner raises dividends, the effect on MGG is amplified. Since the general partnership shares went public in February 2006, quarterly distributions have spiked 82%."

I look at this investment and note that not only is the dividend high, but the chart is trending higher, telling me investors (some of whom have sold their Bank of America or UBS shares) are discovering this and other up-and-comers and climbing on board.

Yours in pursuit of wisdom and wealth,

--Timothy Lutts
Publisher
Cabot Wealth Advisory
 
P.S. So, if you're looking for dividends, you could buy the stock mentioned above. Better yet, you could take a no-risk trial subscription to Dick Davis Income Digest and get dozens of first-rate recommendations on a regular basis, so you can structure your own portfolio to bring in a steady flow of dividends, safely and dependably. If your portfolio has been damaged by the bear market of 2008, Dick Davis Income Digest may be just what you need to nurse your portfolio back to health. Click here to get started today!

About Timothy Lutts

Timothy Lutts heads Cabot Heritage Corporation, one of America's most respected independent investment advisory services, publishing 10 newsletters--including Dick Davis Income Digest--to more than 160,000 subscribers around the world. Under his leadership, Cabot advisories have been honored numerous times by Timer Digest, Hulbert Financial Digest and MarketWatch as the top investment newsletters in the industry. In 2007, Cabot was the only publisher with two investment advisories, Cabot Market Letter and Cabot China & Emerging Markets Report, ranked among the top 10 investment newsletters by Hulbert.

Get Your Motor Running

Investors are avoiding the battered auto industry like the plague these days, what with the bailouts, complicated cost structures, and imminent bankruptcies rippling through the industry. But not all car makers are under water. Which of these manufacturers has posted 25% annual revenue increases from 2003 to 2007 and even sports a dividend that has risen significantly since it first began in 2006?

A.) Daimler AG (DAI)
B.) Tata Motors (TTM)
C.) Honda Motor Co. (HMC)
D.) Zap (ZAAP.OB)
E.) Chicago Rivet & Machine Co. (CVR)

(Please click on one the links above. After you make your choice, we'll show you the correct answer on our web site.)

Visit this link to read additional articles from today's leading market experts!

Nathan Slaughter
Co-Editor
TopStockAnalysts Digest


Paul Tracy
Co-Editor
TopStockAnalysts Digest



 

 

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