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Published:
August 10, 2007
Over the past couple years, it seems
that hardly a day has gone by without a company announcing plans
for a major stock buyback -- the very act of which often drives
its shares sharply higher. In fact, if there was a giant
scoreboard that tallied up the total amount of cash public
companies spent on share repurchases, it would have flashed an
incredible figure of $432,000,000,000 last year -- for S&P 500
firms alone.
But what exactly are stock buybacks (also called share
repurchases), and how can you actually profit from them?
How Stock Buybacks Work
First, it helps to go back to the basics: a share of stock
represents ownership in a company. For example, if you own 10
shares of a company that has 1,000 shares outstanding, then you
essentially have a claim on 1% of the firm. Should the number of
shares rise for any reason, then your stake would be diluted.
Buybacks do the exact opposite by removing outstanding shares
and boosting your proportional ownership in the company. Should
the number of shares drop from 1,000 to 800, you would then own
1.25% of the company, significantly increasing your slice of the
pie. Consider the example for a fictional company below:
| |
Pre-Buyback |
Post-Buyback |
|
Cash |
$10,000,000 |
$5,000,000 |
|
Net Income |
$2,500,000 |
$2,500,000 |
|
Outstanding Shares |
5,000,000 |
4,750,000 |
|
Price/Market Cap. |
$20/$100 million |
$20/$95 million |
|
Earnings Per Share (EPS) |
$0.50 |
$0.526 |
|
Price/Earnings |
40 |
38 |
Suppose this hypothetical
company decides to spend $5 million on share repurchases. At the
current price of $20 per share, that would reduce the
outstanding share count by 250,000 shares. As a result, the
firm's earnings (and cash flows, etc.) would rise on a per-share
(EPS) basis -- in this case from $0.50 to nearly $0.53 per
share. In other words, the company's EPS would have climbed +6%,
even without a single penny of additional net income.
So by thinning out the share base, buybacks can dramatically
boost EPS growth -- a key driver of stock performance. Of
course, this would make the shares more attractive in the eyes
of investors because suddenly the stock then trades at a more
affordable earnings multiple. And because assets and
shareholders equity have both been reduced, key metrics like
return on assets (ROA) and return on equity (ROE) would, by
definition, also improve.
Over time, buybacks can lead to other benefits as well. For one,
supply and demand influences stock prices, so if supply shrinks
while demand remains constant, then investors can reasonably
expect to see higher share prices. Also, by specifically
choosing to repurchase shares instead of pursuing other options,
a company's management sends a clear message that it believes
the stock is undervalued and makes a compelling investment. A
buyback also sends the message that management is confident
about its future cash flow generation and fundamental prospects.
Of course, Wall Street is well aware of all this, which is why
the very announcement of a share repurchase program can send a
stock immediately higher -- giving shareholders a jump-start
even before the real benefits begin to materialize.
Over the years, the average stock buyback program has removed
about 5% of a given company's outstanding shares. The vast
majority (about 90%) of those shares are simply repurchased on
the open market at prevailing prices. However, on rare occasions
they will be bought back through a tender offer.
Once the shares have been bought back, they are often simply
cancelled -- meaning they can no longer be traded. Others,
however, will be reclassified as treasury stock on the balance
sheet and can be reissued at a later date. In either case, the
shares are effectively taken out of the picture.
Harnessing the Power of Stock Buybacks
Fans of stock buybacks have had plenty of reasons to cheer
lately. From early 2002 through late 2006, S&P 500 firms logged
18 consecutive quarters of healthy double-digit growth. That has
left corporate America awash in profits -- more than $3 trillion
in total over the past four years. Of course, many companies
have used some of that money to pay down debt, fund
acquisitions, or simply plow back into the business. However,
there is still plenty of excess cash lying around to return to
stockholders.
But not all buybacks are created equal, and sometimes they aren't
as shareholder friendly as they seem. In the earlier example,
suppose the stock climbed from $20 to $40 per share, and then
the company's board authorized an additional $5 million in
repurchases. At this point, the same outlay would now only buy
back 125,000 shares.
Clearly, this second repurchase program would be much less
effective. In fact, depending on the after-tax cost of capital
used to fund the buyback, the repurchase may even have a
negative impact on EPS -- rare, but mathematically possible. For
a buyback to be an efficient use of capital, the shares must be
undervalued to begin with. The more undervalued, the greater the
rate of return and the more economic value provided to
shareholders.
Unfortunately, a few companies conveniently ignore this fact.
Some unscrupulous managers use buybacks as a means to boost
temporarily a stock that is going nowhere. Others (whose
compensation is often tied to certain profitability metrics)
pump money into buybacks to mask poor performance and improve
the firm's numbers -- and fatten their own paychecks. It's
always a good idea to consider the company's motivation for the
buyback, its capital structure, management's commitment to the
company, and the bigger trend in the company's share count.
So how can you smoke out the good buybacks from the bad?
Start with StreetAuthority's monthly
Half-Priced Stocks newsletter. In a recent issue, Editor
Nathan Slaughter dove into the subject of stock buybacks,
including what factors can help you determine the true motives
behind a firm's repurchase plan. In addition, Nathan delivered
the exclusive names of over a dozen stocks that are buying back
stock hand over fist -- all while trading below their estimated
fair value. He also profiled two of his favorite firms with
buybacks, including one set to repurchase over 40% of its
existing shares. To learn more about Half-Priced Stocks,
including how to access this article on buybacks,
please
visit this link. |