| Published:
December 3, 2007
The end of the year
is one of the market's most active
periods, and year-end tax-loss
selling makes this a great time to
scout out some real bargains on
closed-end funds.
A study in The Journal of
Finance found that many closed-end
funds tend to sell off in the last
few weeks of the year and then rally
in January. The reason for this
seasonal behavior is that
tax-sensitive investors often sell
funds at a loss late in the year to
help offset capital gains elsewhere,
lightening their overall tax load.
Heavy year-end selling can drag a
fund's market share price below its
net asset value (NAV) -- the value
of the underlying securities in the
fund's portfolio. The resulting
discount can create an attractive
entry opportunity. For example, if a
fund is trading at a -20% discount,
then you'll only be paying $80 for a
$100 worth of assets.
Come the start of each new year, the
so-called "January Effect" usually
kicks in. Funds that are cast off in
the last few weeks of the year may
soon look enticing, as tax loss
selling will artificially depress
share prices and push yields higher.
(Share price and yield move
inversely.) If history is any guide,
then bargain hunters will swoop in
during the first few weeks of
January, bidding up the share prices
of many beaten-up funds.
Some closed-end funds make better
candidates for this strategy than
others. Municipal bond funds
tend to work particularly well
because owners of these funds are
typically focused on taxes. Thinly
traded funds with 50,000 shares or
less in average daily trading volume
also work well. Low trading volume
tends to exaggerate price swings, so
when investors flock to the exit
doors in the weeks before December
31st, they'll move a small fund far more
than they would a larger, more
liquid fund.
New funds that were issued earlier
in the year also make good prospects
for this strategy. New funds are
typically issued at a premium to
their portfolio value because the
initial share price includes a fee
to the underwriter. These fees can
represent as much as 8% of the
fund's net asset value. It usually
takes a few months for the share
price to back off and move closer to
NAV, or even below it.
For instance, a fund may come
to market in July at a +5% premium
to its NAV, but trade at a discount
sharp discount just a few months
later in November. If this were the
case, we would expect to see that
discount widen even further as
tax-loss selling drags down the
share price prior to the start of
the new year.
One caveat to using this technique
to profit: If investors hold the
assets in taxable brokerage
accounts, they may want to time
their buying to avoid a
year-end tax issue -- capital gains.
Most funds make capital gains
distributions sometime in November
or December, and investors may be
tempted to capture this
distribution. But once a fund goes
ex-distribution, the fund price will
drop by about the amount of the
payment. So if you bought a fund
pre-distribution, you would soon see
the share price dip and you would
also be on the hook for capital
gains taxes. Tax-sensitive investors
may wish to avoid the tax bite by
buying after a fund goes
ex-distribution.
Of course, it can be difficult to
find quality closed-end funds that
also trade a discount -- even after
tax-loss selling. That's why Carla Pasternak,
editor of the StreetAuthority
income investing newsletter,
High-Yield Investing, is here.
Carla has used advanced proprietary
screening techniques to track down
quality closed-end funds that went public at
a premium, have started to fall back
near or below their NAVs, and could
drop even further on tax-loss
selling. Investors who buy at this
point should see a nice rebound once
the "January Effect" kicks in. Best
of all, of these funds all yield over
7.5%, and one yields as much as 15.0%! To
learn the names of these funds and
to learn more about the
High-Yield
Investing newsletter, please
visit
this link. |