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November 17, 2008 For years,
any investor who was asked which
U.S. companies were the healthiest
would likely point to the Dow Jones
Industrial Average and blue chips
like Johnson & Johnson, IBM or AT&T.
But now, with the global economy
soft and the financial sector in
shambles, markets are experiencing
unprecedented volatility. Most
investors would be hesitant to
hazard a guess as to where the next
round of bad news will erupt. The
sturdiest of the sturdy seem to have
been knocked askew.
In this investing climate, there's
only one sure measure of a company's
health -- an increased dividend.
Raising the payout to shareholders
demonstrates not only that the
just-ended quarter was strong -- it
also shows that the outlook for the
year ahead is positive. Only
companies that know with certainty
that they can easily generate an
ample supply of cash are willing to
boost their payments in the current
environment.
Amid the relentless barrage of
financial news for the past two
weeks -- a good portion of it less
than pleasant -- you may have missed
a critical bit of information from
Standard & Poor's.
That's certainly understandable, as
there has been a lot of important
developments to keep up with. But
for investors searching for
companies that are not only
surviving, but actually thriving in
this perilous market, S&P's research
could well be the Holy Grail.
But we have to warn you, it's one of
those "good news/bad news" things.
We'll start with the bad news. S&P
found 138 companies weren't as
strong as their executives and
directors thought. Their businesses
are so besieged and their financial
footing is so precarious that these
companies -- many of them the
blue-chip firms -- were forced to
slash their dividends last quarter.
In fact, divided cuts increased
+557% from last year.
To make things even more ominous: As
the number of dividend cuts rose,
the number of dividend increases
fell. Only 346 companies boosted
their payouts in the third quarter.
That amounts to a -21.2% drop versus
year-ago levels.
The dividend cuts totaled $22.5
billion. That's not a mere paper
loss -- that's actual dollars of
income that didn't make it into
investors' pockets. This collective
dividend axing by U.S. companies was
unprecedented. "It was the worst
September for dividends since we
started keeping dividend records in
1956," said Howard Silverblatt, a
senior analyst at Standard & Poor's.
Every cloud, however, has a silver
lining. We're reminded of the advice
of the noted mathematician Carl
Jacobi, who said, "Invert, always
invert."
So what's on the other side of this
coin? Mr. Silverblatt was quick to
point it out. "Given the uncertainty
of the markets and the economy,
these companies [that are increasing
their dividends] have to be
extremely confident of their future
earnings and cash flow."
In other words, if the companies
cutting their dividends are weaker
than even their own executives
expected, then it stands to reason
the companies increasing their
dividends are the strongest, most
stable businesses in the country.
They can afford to literally give
money away.
Take Magellan Midstream Partners
(NYSE: MMP). It's what's known in
the business as an MLP, which is
shorthand for "master limited
partnership." These entities
typically own energy assets -- such
as pipelines and storage terminals
-- and they are obligated by law to
forward earnings from their business
to their partners (in MLP lingo,
investors are known as "partners").
In August, Magellan boosted its
quarterly dividend from $0.67 to
$0.69 per share, and management said
its next payment would increase yet
again to $0.7025 per share.
Bloomberg forecasts a favorable
horizon of continually higher
payouts throughout the next several
years. Magellan's increasing
payments show just how confident the
partnership is in its future outlook
-- it's no surprise the shares are
up nearly +40% during the last five
days.
Wall Street Cheers Dividend
Increases
This goes to show how much Wall
Street likes dividend increases.
When companies are able to hike
their payouts in a difficult
economic climate, traders really go
bananas. Everyone is suddenly
reminded of the underlying strength
of the business and the company's
ability to perform. Wells Fargo, for
instance, stunned Wall Street when
it raised its dividend nearly +10%
in the midst of the worst financial
shake-up since the Great Depression.
Shares gained a remarkable +33% in a
single day this July -- and have
since risen even further -- even as
other banks have seen their share
prices plunge.
High-Yield Investing Editor
Carla Pasternak didn't need to read
the news from Standard & Poor's to
understand that companies with
increasing payments are where income
investors should be focusing. She's
an astute analyst and an active
income investor, and she had already
done the research by the time S&P
issued its findings.
In a recent issue of her newsletter,
she focused solely on securities
that have continually increased
dividends -- even in today's
tumultuous market. These
high-quality investment ideas have
all raised their payments over the
last year, but their 3-year growth
is especially enticing:
|
Security |
10/14/08
Yield |
3-Yr.
Div. Growth |
|
Telecom provider |
8.1% |
+85.8% |
|
Natural gas distributor |
10.6% |
+33.4% |
|
Drug
maker |
7.5% |
+19.5% |
|
Coal/Natural gas
partner |
11.5% |
+16.1% |
|
Petroleum
distributor |
8.8% |
+13.2% |
|
Pipeline
operator |
9.7% |
+12.7% |
|
Theater owner |
7.9% |
+10.6% |
|
Energy company |
8.6% |
+8.2% |
|
Oil & gas
MLP |
8.0% |
+6.5% |
|
Oil & gas
general partner |
7.7% |
+6.5% |
|
Many of the news reports we hear
these days are dire. But if you
think every company is suffering and
one step away from turning off the
lights, remember: The securities
listed above are only a fraction of
the 346 that raised their dividends.
And the companies behind these
stocks are sending a clear message
that they'll weather the storm.
In Carla's October issue, she not
only provided subscribers the list
above, she also dove into profiles
of her two favorite securities that
are consistently raising their
payments. This includes one
investment idea that has increased
its distributions +17% a year over
the past decade. Even better -- this
security has already boosted its
dividend +15% over the last year
alone and now yields 8.0%.
If you'd like to read more about
this idea, see Carla's entire list
of steady dividend growers, plus
receive a stream of stocks, funds,
and other investments with
abnormally high dividend yields each
and every month -- then I'd like to
extend you a personal invitation to
try her premium newsletter . . .
High-Yield Investing.
Visit this link to learn more.
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