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Published:
September 8, 2008
Infrastructure is the basic framework needed for
a community to function: communication systems, public
transportation, water towers, power lines, schools... the list goes
on and on.
Quite often, we take these necessities for
granted until a storm knocks out the electricity or water
suddenly stops running from the tap. Such disruptions are more
than just minor inconveniences
--
they can put our entire lives on hold. And for government
agencies tasked with the operation of vital assets such as
public transit lines or hydroelectric dams, the stakes can be
even higher.
For example, the collapse of a major bridge in
Minneapolis last August wasn't just an unfortunate tragedy that
took
13 lives; it also
opened quite a few eyes to a more serious problem on our
roadways. Most bridges are constructed with a lifespan of about
50 years, and the average bridge has currently been in use for 43
years. As you might expect, that has left many bridges in a
dangerous state of disrepair.
Several months ago, a six-foot fissure was found in
a support pillar beneath I-95 in Philadelphia, forcing the
detour of 185,000 vehicles per day as repairs were made. Nationwide, the Federal Highway Administration believes
approximately 152,000 of the nation's 600,000 bridges (1 in 4)
either require substantial work or have become obsolete and must
be replaced entirely.
The overall price tag to bring all these bridges
up to date: about $140 billion.
Of course, this is just a drop in the proverbial
bucket. Every four years, the American Society of Civil
Engineers (ASCE) issues a report card grading the U.S. on 15 key
infrastructure categories. The latest round of scores shows
critical shortfalls that must be addressed in virtually every
area.
Trillions in Outlays
We already know about the nation's deteriorating
bridges, which you might think would receive failing marks from
the ASCE. But actually they received a "C," the second-highest
grade
given in the report
-- which gives us a pretty good idea of how much work must be
done in other
areas.
For example, the number of unsafe dams has
climbed to 3,500 -- many of which could lead to catastrophic
damage should they fail. The ASCE estimates it will cost
somewhere in the neighborhood of $10 billion to correct the
problem.
Getting safe drinking water to homes and
businesses is even more problematic. Every single day we lose
about 6 billion gallons of water to leaky or corroded pipes, and
current funding is just one-tenth of the amount needed. The
Environmental Protection Agency is predicting
that more than $275
billion
is needed for
water distribution and treatment over the next decade.
And while energy needs have climbed steadily over
the past 15 years, maintenance on the nation's transmission
lines has actually decreased about -1% annually. These outdated
facilities simply weren't designed to handle current demand, and
the risk of future blackouts is very real.
As for inland waterways, we have about 260 locks
used by cargo barges to navigate through 12,000 miles of
rivers, and about 50% of those are deemed "functionally
obsolete." This will require another $125 billion to fix.
Wastewater treatment facilities are also impaired, discharging
billions of gallons of untreated sewage each year. That's
another $390 billion worth of upgrades and repairs.
Freight and passenger railways, hazardous waste
removal, public parks, highways, landfills... the story is the
same. Overall, the ASCE has given America's infrastructure a
"Poor" grade of "D" and
put the repair bill at a staggering $1.6 trillion.
If the story ended there, we would already have a
compelling investment thesis. But it's just the beginning: An
even bigger picture is unfolding overseas. After all, we are
only addressing problems that have been left unchecked. But in
many emerging markets, the necessary infrastructure hasn't even
been built yet -- so outlays for basic things like water and
electricity will dwarf what is being spent here in the U.S.
In fact, a recent study by Morgan Stanley is forecasting $22
trillion in emerging market infrastructure spending over the
next 10 years. That spells
plenty of opportunity for well placed companies both foreign and
domestic.
With these points in mind,
Half-Priced Stocks editor Nathan Slaughter covered the
boom in infrastructure spending in his most recent issue and
uncovered the 10 stocks best positioned to benefit. These ideas
include one pick that is set to rise more than +90% before
reaching Nathan's fair value estimate.
To learn the name of this security
and many of the world's best
positioned infrastructure companies, we invite you
to try a no-risk subscription
of
Half-Priced
Stocks. To
learn more, please
visit this link. |