Published:
November 19, 2007
The
correct answer is
(D.) Agrochemicals
Over the past three years, the S&P has posted respectable annual returns of about +11.5%. However, the agrochemical sector has delivered sensational gains of
+63.5% annually over that same span
-- good enough to more than quadruple a modest
$5,000 investment into nearly
$22,000. Obviously, anyone who decided
a few years ago to shift an extra 5% or 10% of his or her portfolio into agrochemical stocks has been well-rewarded.
There's nothing wrong with simply matching the
returns posted by the overall market, but
more aggressive investors in search
of higher returns are fully aware that a market average like the S&P 500 is just
that -- an average. Some sectors will beat the average, others will lag.
Although few investors have the foresight to consistently predict the
market's top-performing sectors, from time to
time various sectors do appear
promising. And right now, both
agrochemical and healthcare stocks are firing
on all cylinders.
Consider that the number of people age 65 or over is projected to explode to 973 million worldwide within the next three decades. This massive demographic shift will trigger a tidal wave in healthcare spending. Plus, healthcare spending isn't cyclical, which
makes this sector a smart defensive
play during times of economic uncertainty.
The statistics are already
staggering:
- Between 1994 and 2004, average
domestic per-capita spending on
healthcare surged +75% to reach
$6,280 per person in the United
States.
- As a country, we now spend
more than $2 trillion on annual
healthcare expenditures -- or
more than $5 billion each and
every day.
- Healthcare spending is
climbing at triple the rate of
inflation, and by some estimates
is forecast to hit $4 trillion
annually by 2015. That would
equate to a full 20% of the
nation's GDP -- up from just 6%
in the early 1980s.
Profiting from the Booming
Healthcare Market
Investors have plenty of options in this niche of the market. They can always buy shares of
a select handful of the sector's most promising companies, but this subjects investors to quite a bit of company-specific risk: adverse FDA rulings, recalls, lawsuits, and other problems can all cripple a stock.
This is where exchange-traded funds (ETFs) truly provide an
edge -- they let investors move nimbly in and out of virtually every corner of the market with
minimal cost. They also give investors
a low-cost way to gain diversified
exposure a large basket of stocks.
But don't assume these funds all have similar portfolio compositions. Some invest in domestic stocks; others take a global approach. Some are broad-based; others carve into a subsector with surgical precision. Some track indices, while others mirror fundamental or even quantitative benchmarks.
All of this raises the question, what's the best way to play
the long-term trend in healthcare stocks?
Nathan Slaughter, editor of StreetAuthority.com's
ETF Authority newsletter, already weeded through this crowded space and uncovered six of the most
profitable healthcare funds on the
market. In this month's issue, Nathan
provides an in-depth look at his two
favorite healthcare funds. These
include a fund that has outperformed
99% of its peers over the past three
years, plus a "smart"
index fund that backtesting shows
would have delivered +17.9% annual
returns over the past four years. To
learn the names of these funds and to
learn more about
Nathan's ETF Authority
newsletter, please click
here.
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