Published:
November 17, 2008
The
correct answer is
(A.) Commodities
October was the single worst
month for commodity prices since
1956. That's right: It has been 52
years since commodities dropped as
sharply as they did in October. And
as investors, we can't ignore such a
screaming sign of an overreaction.
For the month of October, the
Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index -- which
tracks 19 commodities -- dropped
-22%. Copper fell -36%, the most in
history. Crude oil fell -32%, and
gasoline dropped -39%.
Granted, investors dumped
commodities -- such as oil, natural
gas, industrial metals, precious
metals, timber and agriculture
products -- for good reason. The
snowballing credit crisis almost
certainly pushed economies around
the world into deeper recessions,
and weaker economic growth leads to
lower demand for commodities of all
kinds. And although commodity prices
have dropped significantly since
July, most had enjoyed a tremendous
bull market up to that point.
Without question, a correction was
in order given the
weaker-than-expected demand in the
offing over the next two or three
quarters.
And even though we may be in for a
nasty recession, it may not be as
terrible as many assume --
governments are taking action by
lowering interest rates and
preparing stimulus packages. Beyond
that, trillions of dollars in
reserves and highly liquid,
low-yielding securities are ready to
re-enter markets at any sign of
stability or recovery.
That's why StreetAuthority editor
Nick Lanyi thinks it's time to take
another look at a high-quality,
high-yielding commodity stocks. Many
are in good position to make it
through the weakness and end up
rising on the other end -- paying
handsome dividend yields along the
way. Nick has been keeping an eye on
commodity stocks since September,
but in his most recent issue of the
High-Yield International
newsletter, he's made one pick in
particular that he wants to add to
his own model portfolio. To learn
the name of this stock, and to learn
more about the High-Yield
International newsletter,
please visit this link.
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