Published:
March 17, 2009
The
correct answer is
(C.) Telesp (TSP)
Brazil is the class act of the
so-called BRIC emerging markets. It
boasts a combination of abundant
natural resources, regional
leadership, middle-class growth
potential, and smart government that
make it a great bet to benefit
during economic contractions. Telesp,
the Brazilian telecom company
serving Sao Paolo, Brazil's largest
city, is just one example of why the
nation's GDP remains in positive
territory and is expected to grow
+2% to +4% in 2009 despite a global
economic downturn (on March 1, the
president of Brazil's central bank
predicted +4% growth, pointing out
the nation's US$200 billion surplus
of net foreign reserves).
In Brazil, companies that provide
local-phone service often have flat
or low-single-digit revenue gains
year over year because their core
business suffers from subscriber
declines (due to competition from
wireless, cable, Internet, and other
voice providers). But for all of
2008, Telesp's net revenue rose
+8.5% -- a remarkable showing for a
large legacy fixed-line telecom
provider. Earnings per share for the
quarter rose +12%, and operating
income was up +11%, thanks to a
+23.6% gain in the number of
broadband-Internet subscribers
relative to the fourth quarter of
2007. Telesp now has 2.56 million
broadband customers. The fact that
TSP continues to grow impressively
underscores its potential --
Brazil's huge population remains
underserved when it comes to
broadband.
Part of the stock's relative
strength during the past six months
comes from the fact that its cash
flows, while hurt somewhat by the
economic slowdown, are much more
reliable than those of most
companies. That's one reason
StreetAuthority editor Nick Lanyi
continues to own TSP in the
"Reliable Income" portfolio he
profiles every month in his
High-Yield International newsletter.
In the latest issue, Nick profiles
TSP and several other stocks that
represent long-term, dependable
sources of income during the
recession, thanks to their
still-growing businesses. To learn
the names of Nick's other picks, and
to learn more about High-Yield
International,
please visit this
link.
|