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Americans are eating more food
prepared at home, and pure-play grocery
stores saw same-store sales growth of
more than +4% in the fourth quarter of
2008. But which of these restaurant
chains just announced a first quarter
2009 revenue increase of +16% and a net
income increase of almost +47%?
A.) McDonald's (MCD)
B.) Starbucks (SBUX)
C.) Chipotle (CMG)
D.) Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)
E.) Chuck E. Cheese (CEC)
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Published: May 25, 2009
The
correct answer is
(C.) Chipotle (CMG)CMG
announced its first-quarter 2009
earnings and it would have been hard
to ask for anything better from the
casual dining restaurant chain --
revenues increased by +16% and net
income by almost +47%, when compared
to the last year's first quarter.
Wall Street analysts had projected
the company would earn $0.55 per
share -- and first quarter earnings
came in at $0.78 per share.
However, most of CMG's revenue
growth was due to the 26 new
restaurants it opened this quarter
and the +8% price hikes it
instituted in the fourth quarter of
2008. CMG reported a +2.2% increase
comparable restaurant sales for the
first quarter 2009, compared to a
+10.2% increase in the first quarter
of 2008. The company anticipates
same-store sales to increase only in
the single digits for the 2009,
supported by its earlier price
hikes.
Without its price hikes, CMG's
results would reflect declining
same-store sales. That's partly why
StreetAuthority editor Paul Tracy
sold his CMG position in April,
despite racking up a +97.6% gain in
the stock. In his latest issue of
the Market Advisor newsletter, Paul
explains why he thinks CMG's
fundamental growth story is
beginning to wane and why price
hikes are no longer an option for
CMG. To read Paul's story, and to
learn more about Market Advisor,
please visit this link.
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