Published: June 29, 2009
The
correct answer is
(C.) TechnologyIn the late
1990s and early 2000, technology
stocks were the market's darlings.
Like the "Nifty Fifty" three decades
earlier, many technology firms
soared to unprecedented valuation
levels. The S&P 500 technology
sector traded with a P/E over 75 in
2000.
Of course, the New Economy
ultimately looked a good deal more
like the Old Economy than many tech
bulls cared to believe -- tech
earnings growth ultimately came back
to Earth in 2000 and 2001 and the
sector collapsed. In the three years
following the tech-heavy Nasdaq's
top in March 2000, the index lost
nearly three-quarters of its value.
Some winners ultimately went bust.
But just as with the Nifty Fifty in
the early 1970s, the majority of
America's technology bellwethers
weren't bad companies. They were
simply trading at unsustainable
valuation levels. The group now
trades in line with the broader
market on a price-to-earnings (P/E)
basis. More importantly, the group
has been handily outperforming the
broader market. In the first five
months of 2009 alone, the S&P 500
Technology Sector returned roughly
+14% and the technology heavy Nasdaq
Composite delivered nearly +8% gains
while the S&P 500 simply broke even.
This superior showing is justified
by the tech sector's fundamentals:
strong growth prospects and pristine
balance sheets. Earnings for the
tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite are
projected to grow nearly +17.0% this
year compared to a -7.2% decline for
the S&P 500 as a whole. That's a
solid showing considering the nasty
recession and increased borrowing
costs.
Thus, companies with low debt
burdens and large amounts of cash on
the balance sheet deserve to trade
at a significant valuation premium,
making the technology sector look
particularly attractive. With these
points in mind, StreetAuthority
editor Nathan Slaughter screened a
multitude of tech stocks to find two
that are poised to grow despite a
weak economy and still-shaky global
credit conditions. Nathan's profiles
these two stocks in the latest issue
of his Market Advisor newsletter,
including in-depth looks at their
competitive advantages, valuation,
and outlook. To learn the names of
these stocks, and to learn more
about the
Market Advisor newsletter
click here.
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