Published: November 12, 2009
The
correct answer is
(A.) REITs
Real estate investment trusts
(REITs) are on a roll. Shares of
these commercial property owners
have more than doubled since hitting
bottom this March, as measured by
the benchmark MSCI U.S. REIT Index.
In contrast, the broader S&P 500
index has advanced only about +62%
off its March nadir.
The sector is a gold mine for income
investors. Despite their stupendous
rally, more than six dozen REITs
still offer yields above 6%. So
should you rush out and capture the
highest yields? Definitely not!
Yield isn't everything and price
momentum can be deceptive as well.
The REIT out-performance should be
seen in context. Between the
February 2007 peak and this March,
the REIT index declined roughly
-78%. In contrast, the S&P fell in
March only -57% from its October
2007 peak. No property sector
escaped unscathed. Every sector
(with the exception of self-storage)
delivered double-digit losses in
2008, and that dismal performance
continued through March 2009.
In the aftermath of the Great
Recession, many REITs are still
weighed down by overleveraged
balance sheets and weak earnings
prospects. The near-term outlook is
uncertain. REITS have responded to
this cash crunch by slashing
dividends (technically,
distributions) or by cutting the
cash portion of the payouts and
offering holders a portion of stock
instead. Another cash-saving
strategy was to reduce the cash
portion of dividends and instead
offer part-cash and part-shares.
Although the recovery in REIT shares
is in part based on the overall
market rally, it's also underpinned
by government programs. The Small
Business Administration's 504 loan
program is helping put a floor under
commercial real estate by providing
loans to small businesses so they
can buy property for their
operations. The capital markets are
also opening again, and REITs have
raised some $20 billion since the
beginning of 2009 through both debt
and equity offerings
But if you wait for a "meaningful
recovery" in mid-2010 or later,
you'll miss out on the opportunities
that are presenting themselves right
now. Income investors who want to
capture the strongest REITs with
rock solid yields before the
recovery moves into full swing need
to read the latest issue of
StreetAuthority's
High-Yield
Investing newsletter. Editor Carla
Pasternak scoped out REITs with
current yields of 6% or more, then
studied each one to find the best
bets for the coming recovery. What
she found will surprise you. To read
the names of Carla's picks, and to
learn more about, please
visit this link.
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